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US plan shifts discourse on Israel-Palestinian dispute

Location:

ISRAEL/PALESTINIANS/US

His son-in-law and adviser Jared Kushner has spent over two years formulating the plan, which contains a series of proposals that heavily favour Israel, including the annexation…

Congo and Rwanda will struggle to unwind M23 tensions

Location:

CONGO-KINSHASA/RWANDA

Despite the announcement, the two sides continue to trade accusations, while military confrontations intensify on the ground.

Fear of Russia mutes South Caucasus responses

Location:

CAUCASUS

Georgia's evolving position on the conflict has been confused: a refusal to support sanctions followed by a sudden application for EU membership. Armenia's moral qualms are…

ASEAN-China Framework deal makes symbolic progress

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ASEAN/CHINA

The CoC would codify principles and processes to guide states’ activities and control incidents in the contested sea. The framework’s adoption at the ministerial level is a small…

Prospects for Azerbaijan-Armenia peace deal are remote

Location:

ARMENIA/AZERBAIJAN

The confrontation is the first such incident since the EU civilian mission in Armenia (EUMA) was launched on February 20 to observe the border from the Armenian side. It was the…

Ethiopia’s civil war may unravel regional geopolitics

Location:

ETHIOPIA

It has also seriously damaged Ethiopia’s international and regional political standing, weakening Addis Ababa’s position in the trilateral talks with Egypt and Sudan over the…

Washington has limited options for Ukraine

Location:

UNITED STATES

Washington continues to warn that a Russian attack on Ukraine is imminent while arguing that it has offered Moscow a "serious diplomatic path" out of the crisis. Private messages…

Russia will exploit Macedonian name row in Balkans

Location:

BALKANS

It will change if 50%+1 of the electorate participate and 50%+1 of them approve. The government’s greatest hope for winning the referendum may be to provoke the Internal…

Turkish foreign policy will seek a power balance

Location:

TURKEY

Turkey’s confrontation with the Kurdistan Workers’ Party (PKK) is a key driver of regional and to some extent international policy. Erdogan’s comfortable victory in the May 2023…

Ethiopia and Eritrea face complex path to peace

Location:

ETHIOPIA/ERITREA

Isaias’s announcement follows Ethiopia’s June 5 offer to implement unconditionally the 2000 peace agreement that purportedly ended the 1998-2000 border war between them. Any…