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Europe’s strategic focus on the Indo-Pacific will grow

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EUROPE

All three countries are united by the objective to mitigate US-China rivalry by promoting multilateralism and engagement among middle powers, while at the same time using these to…

Trump would face stronger headwinds in second term

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UNITED STATES

In some ways Trump has been a traditional Republican president, lowering taxes and pushing deregulation. Yet he has taken trade and foreign policy in a new direction, with mixed…

World order and US role will endure, for now

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US/INT

Trump’s vision of world order challenges the post-war consensus of US leadership across the post-1945 multilateral global institutions, of which the UN is one. Trump favours more…

China's peacekeeping forces to grow in size and scope

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CHINA

His visit coincides with the arrival in South Sudan of the first of 700 infantry China will send to participate in UN peacekeeping there. Over the past two years, Beijing has…

EU-US relations may be at a turning point

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EU/US

Trump first snubbed the EU on April 30 with a mere postponement of possible tariffs and then humiliated the E3 (Germany, France and the United Kingdom) on May 8 with his decision…

Biden would face early tests of US resolve abroad

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UNITED STATES

If Trump is re-elected, his foreign policy will continue in the same vein as his first term. If Biden wins, he is likely -- as other new presidents have -- to have his foreign…

Biden-Moon summit indicates a new realism in Seoul

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SOUTH KOREA

The first was Japan’s prime minister, Yoshihide Suga, in April. While this priority sends a clear signal to Beijing, in each case there was also a substantial bilateral and…

East Timor may take years to get full ASEAN membership

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EAST TIMOR

East Timor was concomitantly given observer status and allowed to participate in all the group’s meetings. The ASEAN Coordinating Council (ACC) will finalise an “objective…

Prospects for the EU to end-2019

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PROSPECTS H2 2019

Prospects for the EU to end-2019.

Biden’s human rights focus in Africa faces diversions

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US/AFRICA

However, an Islamist-inspired insurgency in Mozambique, uncertainty surrounding Chad’s future as a regional security partner and Nigeria’s recent unexpected call for US Africa…