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Saudi crown prince may move against his detractors

Location:

SAUDI ARABIA

The scandal over Khashoggi’s death has been a profound embarrassment to the government, which has belatedly acknowledged that senior officials were implicated. However, there is…

Libya unity government will probably prolong its term

Location:

LIBYA

The Government of National Accord in Tripoli had handed over power on March 16. The ceremony means Libya now has its first unified government since 2014. The new government has a…

Muslim Brotherhood will struggle to recover in Egypt

Location:

EGYPT

Cairo’s aversion to political Islam has seen it dismantle the aging leadership of Egypt’s Muslim Brotherhood (MB), most of whom are either dead, in prison or scattered. The…

Farmajo-Roble row may further disrupt Somali elections

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SOMALIA

This will complicate the final steps to electing a new government before the end of the year.

Online violence against women will grow in Iraq

Location:

IRAQ

Gendered online intimidation and violence in Iraq is often politically motivated, aimed at silencing dissenting voices and encouraging women to retreat from public life. State…

Improvement in US ties with Ankara can only go so far

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TURKEY/US

US President Donald Trump has warmed towards Turkey, which is benefiting from the contrast with Saudi behaviour. Turkish-US cooperation in the Khashoggi affair and the release of…

Iraq’s new cabinet will struggle with IS resurgence

Location:

IRAQ

The incident is symptomatic of an Islamic State (IS) resurgence in the country. Yet despite parliament’s approval of Abdul-Mahdi as prime minister and ratification of the core of…

Lebanon will suffer from deeper Iran-Saudi conflict

Location:

LEBANON

An intense political crisis has emerged since Prime Minister Saad al-Hariri resigned from his post in a televised speech from Saudi Arabia on November 4, one year after he was…

Israel will strengthen its ties with the Gulf

Location:

ISRAEL/GULF STATES

In October, Netanyahu travelled to Oman -- the first visit there by an Israeli premier in decades. In the past few years, relations between Israel and most of the six Gulf…

Setbacks are likely in Sudan’s fraught transition

Location:

SUDAN

Pressures facing Sudan's transition.