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Saudi crown prince may move against his detractors

Tuesday, October 30, 2018

Significance

The scandal over Khashoggi’s death has been a profound embarrassment to the government, which has belatedly acknowledged that senior officials were implicated. However, there is no sign that the power of the dominant Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman has been affected.

Impacts

  • Western allies will seek to maintain security and economic ties, while quietly seeking assurances that such incidents will not recur.
  • They may use the Khashoggi affair to exert pressure on the kingdom to work towards a political settlement in Yemen.
  • There is little chance of a popular revolt against the crown prince.
  • He is likely rather to consolidate his control, which could entail further arrests of perceived opponents.
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