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Iraq’s new cabinet will struggle with IS resurgence

Thursday, November 1, 2018


The incident is symptomatic of an Islamic State (IS) resurgence in the country. Yet despite parliament’s approval of Abdul-Mahdi as prime minister and ratification of the core of his cabinet, key security posts (including interior and defence ministers) remain vacant.


  • Contested security leadership may facilitate an IS resurgence.
  • The United States will likely grant sanctions exemptions for purchases of Iranian electricity and gas.
  • A revenue-sharing deal with the Kurds will likely be written into the 2019 budget.
  • Oil exports via Kirkuk are likely to resume.
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