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Growing ‘mercenary’ use will sustain Mideast conflicts

Location:

MIDDLE EAST

From US contractors in Iraq and Russian mercenary groups in Syria, to Gulf states’ ‘foreign legions’ in Yemen and multiple Iranian proxy militias, national armies no longer…

Moscow’s control over Belarusian military will grow

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BELARUS

Moscow’s influence over Belarus has grown stronger since the full-scale invasion of Ukraine in February 2022, when part of Russia’s invasion force entered from Belarus. The latest…

Misusing historical analogies limits US policy options

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US

The Vietnam analogy implies that President Joe Biden’s decision to leave Afghanistan will have deeply negative consequences for the United States. However, Afghanistan is not…

Yemeni fighting could spike ahead of Gulf drawdown

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YEMEN

This comes after a surge in fighting across multiple fronts in February and March. Conflict actors are trying to improve their positions ahead of future negotiations, in the…

Isolation from West will bring Russia and Iran closer

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RUSSIA/IRAN

The two countries have turned to each other amid increasing isolation from international banking systems, export markets, and foreign resources and technologies. Deepening their…

Russia and Turkey will avoid igniting Karabakh war

Location:

CAUCASUS

Implications of a serious bout of fighting in Nagorno-Karabakh.

Turkey’s defence industry is set for growth

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TURKEY

A major milestone was showcased in February, as KAAN, the country’s first domestically produced fifth-generation combat aircraft, made its maiden flight. The aircraft is equipped…

US Huthi terror tag will complicate Yemeni-Saudi talks

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YEMEN/SAUDI ARABIA

This comes days after the announcement of a new Saudi-backed power-sharing cabinet involving internationally recognised Yemeni President Abd Rabbu Mansur Hadi and southern…

Abu Dhabi seeks ‘smart power’ in the Horn of Africa

Location:

UNITED ARAB EMIRATES

The move risks further exacerbating poor relations with Somalia. The UAE has a long-term commercial interest in the Somaliland port of Berbera, previously planned to include…

Israeli anti-Hezbollah axis with Riyadh will weaken

Location:

ISRAEL

He exhorted Riyadh to take the “golden opportunity” of a strategic alliance with Washington to confront Iranian extremism, and threatened to attack the advanced missile factories…