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India will crack down heavily on Naxalite rebels

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INDIA

Bastar’s seven districts have for decades been the epicentre of a low-intensity conflict between the rebels and the Indian government. In October 2018, the then home minister said…

Moscow will keep North Caucasus from Ukraine spillover

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RUSSIA

As the war in Ukraine could end in catastrophic failure, any spike in the intensity of social unrest in the North Caucasus would have perilous consequences for Russia’s power…

Conflict and pandemic disrupt Armenian reform momentum

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ARMENIA

The intensity of the clashes, now in their third day, heightens the risk of full-scale war with Azerbaijan. Pashinyan is committed to defending Armenian-controlled Karabakh…

The Gambia's reform programme could prove elusive

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GAMBIA

The dismissals follow growing public criticism of the lack of urgency and policy direction of the new administration and came on the same day Barrow concluded a three-day retreat…

State of emergency will benefit Ethiopian military

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ETHIOPIA

In the wake of demonstrations that peaked in September and October last year, tens of thousands of protesters and suspects were arrested, often undergoing a ‘re-education’…

Conflict may intensify after failed Ethiopia-OLA talks

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ETHIOPIA

This was the second attempt at resolving the intractable conflict in Oromia that has killed thousands and displaced millions. Moreover, hopes of a resolution this time had been…

Security and stability elude Pakistan’s Balochistan

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PAKISTAN

Outlook for security in Balochistan.

Ethiopia’s Oromia faces worst insecurity in decades

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ETHIOPIA

Violence in Oromia has intensified recently, involving OLA and government forces, but increasingly also 'self-help' groups of Amhara minorities, with alleged support from ‘Fano’…

Cameroon violence will increase in coming weeks

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CAMEROON

This marks the most recent incident in mounting conflict this year between security forces and separatist forces, as well as broader violence against civilians. The conflict has…

Dagestan expenses may become problem for Russia

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RUSSIA

Prospects for Dagestan.