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State neglect fosters global illicitly-governed spaces

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

The effect of illicitly-governed spaces

IS threat will persist after territorial losses

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

IS’s losses of territory, resources and key leaders have dented the group’s ambitions and operating budget. However, while those setbacks have affected morale on the ground, they…

Squabbling Syrian rebels will avoid showdown

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SYRIA

In Damascus, HTS collaborated with more moderate groups from the Free Syrian Army (FSA). Elsewhere, however, the rebels are deeply divided. HTS, the latest avatar of the former…

Middle East regimes will survive lasting instability

Location:

MIDDLE EAST

Regime resilience in the Middle East.

Radical group normalises its policies in Syria

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SYRIA

The softer approach, evident also in HTS’s tolerance of Sufis and suppression of its erstwhile jihadi allies, reflects a desire for acceptance domestically and internationally…

Prospects for the Levant in 2021

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PROSPECTS 2021

However, in 2021 they will all face two common challenges: recovering from major economic shocks in 2020 and reorienting to US policy shifts under a Biden presidency. From…

Islamic State seeks sectarian conflict in Lebanon

Location:

LEBANON

Islamic State group (ISG) claimed responsibility for the blast, which killed 44 people, making it the largest terrorist attack in Lebanon since 1990 and the first of its kind…

Middle East and North Africa water security in 2030

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PROSPECTS 2030

Growing populations and climate change are putting additional pressure on the region’s water resources at a time when food security risks are rising in many of the MENA countries…

Islamic State threat looms over security in Indonesia

Location:

INDONESIA

Islamic State threat.