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Andean crime expansion poses regional challenge

Location:

LATIN AMERICA

The crisis of insecurity in Ecuador, in particular, has raised concerns in neighbouring countries about the activities of drug trafficking mafias as well as other forms of illegal…

Turkey's economy and security are Erdogan's key risks

Location:

TURKEY

There are no declared candidates and the new man will be in effect the personal appointee of President Recep Tayyib Erdogan, whose dominance over the country seems greater than…

Concentrating political power is risk to Tajikistan

Location:

TAJIKISTAN

Stability risks in Tajikistan.

Changing Syrian landscape will pose risks for Israel

Location:

ISRAEL/SYRIA

The strikes are likely efforts to prevent Hezbollah, a Lebanese Shia militia, from using its involvement in the Syrian conflict to acquire sophisticated weaponry. Israeli fears…

Nationalists are Pakistan’s main worry in Balochistan

Location:

PAKISTAN

Parallel insurgencies in Balochistan province.

Russia and allies seek damage limitation with Taliban

Location:

CENTRAL ASIA/AFGHANISTAN

Since May the Taliban have taken control of almost all areas adjoining Central Asian borders. A remaining stretch between Turkmenistan and north-western Afghanistan is likely to…

Turkey will shift focus to Kurdish guerrillas in Iraq

Location:

TURKEY

Since the breakdown of the peace process with the Kurdistan Workers Party (PKK) in July 2016, Erdogan’s policy of all-out violence has to outward appearances smashed the Kurds’…

Separatist threat is rising in Pakistan

Location:

PAKISTAN

Balochistan province's separatist insurgency.

Myanmar talks have not lessened two-track deal risks

Location:

MYANMAR

The talks are part of the effort to end decades of fighting between Myanmar's military (Tatmadaw) and various ethnic minority armed groups (EMAGs).

Russia and China will not rush to fill Afghan void

Location:

RUSSIA/CHINA

For both states, a swift takeover of power in Afghanistan is preferable to either prolonged civil war or a power vacuum. Their objectives are more defensive than acquisitive…