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Myanmar talks have not lessened two-track deal risks

Wednesday, May 31, 2017


The talks are part of the effort to end decades of fighting between Myanmar's military (Tatmadaw) and various ethnic minority armed groups (EMAGs).


  • Myanmar's government will need further Chinese support to bring north-eastern EMAGs back into the peace process.
  • Vested economic interests will likely complicate reaching any peace deal.
  • The government will have difficulty securing new NCA signatories while managing ties with the FPNCC.
  • Pressure will grow for greater civil society involvement in the Panglong process, including media, hitherto barred.

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