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Myanmar talks have not lessened two-track deal risks

Wednesday, May 31, 2017

Significance

The talks are part of the effort to end decades of fighting between Myanmar's military (Tatmadaw) and various ethnic minority armed groups (EMAGs).

Impacts

  • Myanmar's government will need further Chinese support to bring north-eastern EMAGs back into the peace process.
  • Vested economic interests will likely complicate reaching any peace deal.
  • The government will have difficulty securing new NCA signatories while managing ties with the FPNCC.
  • Pressure will grow for greater civil society involvement in the Panglong process, including media, hitherto barred.
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