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Sudan coup attempt may reopen political faultlines

Location:

SUDAN

Military and civilian leaders within the current power-sharing government have since accused each other of creating the conditions that prompted the coup, in an escalating…

Amhara unrest strains Ethiopia’s political faultlines

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ETHIOPIA

The protests also took aim at the Amhara branch of the ruling Prosperity Party (PP) for failing to protect Amharas.

Ugandan intervention may not boost Congo’s security

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CONGO-KINSHASA

The offensive comes after Uganda suffered multiple bomb attacks in October and November, which it blamed on ADF rebels. It also comes half a year into a military ‘state of siege’…

Sudan’s junta may exploit centre-periphery tensions

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SUDAN

Nevertheless, Sudan’s military has been able to retain some partnerships, notably with groups representing constituencies from the periphery, which offer it a potentially crucial…

Sudan coup will trigger complex political standoff

Location:

SUDAN

Protest leaders are demanding a full transition to civilian rule. However, military leaders appear determined to retain power, setting the stage for an escalating confrontation.

Ethiopia’s Amhara-Oromo unrest poses long-term problem

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ETHIOPIA

However, at the same time, relations between Amharas and Oromos -- the country’s two largest ethnic groups, whose leaders are central to Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed’s domestic power…

Ethiopia’s Oromia faces worst insecurity in decades

Location:

ETHIOPIA

Violence in Oromia has intensified recently, involving OLA and government forces, but increasingly also 'self-help' groups of Amhara minorities, with alleged support from ‘Fano’…

Prospects for South Africa to end-2020

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PROSPECTS H2 2020

Meanwhile, the already dire state of public finances is set to deteriorate further as the economic impacts of the COVID-19 dampen revenues and increase debt, further undercutting…

Ethiopia teeters on the brink of civil war

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ETHIOPIA

These developments threaten to ignite a multi-dimensional civil war pitting Tigrayan against federal and Amhara regional forces.

Africa may experience a new wave of coups

Location:

AFRICA

Following Zimbabwe’s 2017 ‘military assisted transition’, in the last two years governments have been removed by coups in Chad, Mali (twice), Guinea and now Sudan. Governments…