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China’s South-east Asian defence ties face constraints

Location:

CHINA

South-east Asia is a key theatre in which Chinese-US strategic rivalry plays out. Beijing is counting on regional defence diplomacy to help it push back against the United States…

Russia will increase covert Baltic interference

Location:

RUSSIA/BALTICS

In line with such concerns, Estonia held a large military exercise, Hedgehog, on May 4-15, involving 13,000 troops. On May 6, Lithuania launched Lightning Strike, a military…

Iran faces multiple challenges in managing Azerbaijan

Location:

IRAN/AZERBAIJAN

The ministers agreed that hostile rhetoric on both sides was unhelpful and that dialogue was essential. The phone call is an attempt to salvage a relationship that has gone badly…

External moves will dictate scale of Caucasus conflict

Location:

AZERBAIJAN/ARMENIA

The conflict has remained frozen since 1994 partly because external actors have exercised restraint. By contrast, Turkey is now giving Azerbaijan unqualified rhetorical support…

Disparate new Montenegrin government looks fragile

Location:

MONTENEGRO

Decades of one-party rule by the Democratic Party of Socialists (DPS) ended at the August 30 elections, which delivered a stinging rebuke to veteran strongman Milo Djukanovic…

ASEAN leadership will stretch Laos in 2024

Location:

LAOS

The theme it has chosen for its chairmanship is ‘enhancing connectivity and resilience’. The reference to ‘resilience’ is apt, as Laos is attempting to manage severe economic…

Azerbaijan's assertiveness shifts Iran relationship

Location:

IRAN/AZERBAIJAN

A recent downward trend in relations reflects deep-rooted grievances and diverging geopolitical trajectories, but Azerbaijan's growing assertiveness, helped by regional interloper…

Maritime rights are sore point in Indonesia-China ties

Location:

INDONESIA/CHINA

Jakarta has repeatedly protested Chinese incursions into its EEZ. At the same time, China and Indonesia have burgeoning economic ties.

Mining rush threatens stability in Uganda’s Karamoja

Location:

UGANDA

However, the highly militarised approach has left almost no room for dialogue with local communities and a new wave of armed violence has emerged, raising questions about the…

Myanmar military will count on Russian support

Location:

MYANMAR

Unlike most Western powers, Russia has refused to condemn the February 1 coup in which the Myanmar army ousted the country’s democratically elected civilian government. Russia’s…