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Azerbaijan's assertiveness shifts Iran relationship

Friday, January 6, 2023


A recent downward trend in relations reflects deep-rooted grievances and diverging geopolitical trajectories, but Azerbaijan's growing assertiveness, helped by regional interloper Turkey, has left less room for resuming past methods of mutual accommodation.


  • Azerbaijani-Russian relations will remain tense as each distrusts the other's intentions in Karabakh.
  • Relations between Armenia and Russia will remain strained.
  • As the 'Middle Corridor' route gains attention, Turkey's engagement with Central Asia will increase.
  • Ukraine-Iran ties will become more difficult as Tehran supplies Moscow with weapons.

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