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Chances of renewed conflict in western Yemen are high

Location:

YEMEN

That is one of the terms of the Stockholm Agreement, signed in December 2018, which was the first -- and thus far only -- successful step toward de-escalation taken by the warring…

Economic warfare in Yemen could boost piracy risk

Location:

YEMEN

Since it began in March 2015, the many-sided conflict has become internationalised, following threats to the vital shipping artery in the Bab al-Mandab strait, through which trade…

Conflicting interests mar Burundi's peace prospects

Location:

BURUNDI

This will significantly set back the peace process mediated by Uganda, the East African Community and the African Union (AU), with input from the UN, the United States and other…

Israel will carefully calibrate its Iran retaliation

Location:

ISRAEL

The assault caused almost no damage after a combined air defence including the United States and other allies intercepted nearly all the projectiles. Nonetheless, it was Iran’s…

South Sudan’s government will hinder aid efforts

Location:

SOUTH SUDAN

South Sudan’s civil war is now in its fourth year, during which the intensity and extent of fighting has fluctuated. Despite the notional maintenance of the August 2015 peace…

Somalia-Somaliland conflict may defy quick resolution

Location:

SOMALIA

Conflict between Somalia and Somaliland.

Congo’s Ebola and security crisis could intensify

Location:

CONGO-KINSHASA

Ebola and insecurity in the Democratic Republic of the Congo.

Czech premier’s support will back him against protests

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CZECH REPUBLIC

Widespread concern over the state of Czech democracy has been fuelled by European Commission auditors’ reports pointing to possible conflicts of interest between Babis’s official…

Mozambique party politics may trump national interest

Location:

MOZAMBIQUE

There is broad consensus that security sector reform is necessary, but lingering concern that the government lacks a coherent plan, and will end up being distracted by other…

Qatar and Turkey will defend their Hamas ties

Location:

QATAR/TURKEY

Doha has avoided condemning Hamas’s actions, instead blaming Israel for the escalation in Gaza, while Erdogan dubs Hamas a “liberation group”. Unsurprisingly, the United States is…