Mozambique party politics may trump national interest

Significance

There is broad consensus that security sector reform is necessary, but lingering concern that the government lacks a coherent plan, and will end up being distracted by other issues.

Impacts

• The economic crisis resulting from the debt crisis will continue to put the government under severe fiscal pressure.
• Small amounts of gas should begin to be exported in 2022, but uncertainty over the timelines for larger projects will persist.
• Mozambique’s relations with neighbours should continue to improve over the immediate term.