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Ethiopia’s Amhara-Tigray tensions risk new flashpoints

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ETHIOPIA

Amhara forces were central to the federal offensive into Tigray, but their support was in part motivated by a desire to assert claims over strategic areas they say were unfairly…

Tigray-Amhara claims may delay Ethiopia peace process

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ETHIOPIA

Territorial disputes between Amhara and Tigray require delicate negotiations. This will likely delay, and could even derail, the peace process.

Burundi's security outlook will remain fragile

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BURUNDI

The government denounced the attacks as acts of terrorism and claimed to have killed one assailant and arrested five others. However, no information has been released on the…

Sudan border dispute may complicate Ethiopian politics

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ETHIOPIA/SUDAN

The stand-off has reactivated historical tensions over a slice of territory known as the al-Fashaga triangle, which is historically claimed by Sudan but has been cultivated for…

Benishangul-Gumuz unrest complicates Ethiopia’s crisis

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ETHIOPIA

The attacks were apparently orchestrated by armed vigilantes from the Gumuz ethnic group targeting people mainly of Amhara but also of Oromo and Agaw origin. The killings not only…

Ethiopia-Somaliland port deal may spur chain reaction

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ETHIOPIA/SOMALIA

The deal has angered Somalia, which still claims sovereignty over Somaliland, and has triggered reactions that could aggravate already volatile geopolitics in the Horn of Africa.

Intelligence body claims challenge Ramaphosa clean-up

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SOUTH AFRICA

The statements provided detail to supplement the findings of a 2018 review of the SSA, ordered by President Cyril Ramaphosa. The latest allegations imply a significant undermining…

North-west Nigerian insecurity faces new escalation

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NIGERIA

The claim that one of Boko Haram’s factions sponsored the Kankara attack reinforces fears that jihadist outreach to bandit groups is succeeding and that violence will grow in…

Nigeria’s Islamic movement ban raises violence risks

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NIGERIA

Both have been held in detention by the authorities since 2015, in defiance of a court order for their release. The ruling followed a little over a week after President Muhammadu…

Attacks in Mozambique's central provinces will persist

Location:

MOZAMBIQUE

While domestic and international attention is focused on insecurity in northern Cabo Delgado province, attacks by the Junta, which claims RENAMO’s leadership was illegitimately…