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Central-Eastern Europe will compete for US favour

Location:

EUROPE/US

Trump’s effect on US-European relations.

Pegasus scandal is unlikely to unseat Hungary’s Orban

Location:

HUNGARY

Revelations of hacking into the phones of civic activists, journalists and politicians have caused a major media storm in Hungary, without any clear political ramifications…

Foreign influence could affect German elections

Location:

GERMANY

With Angela Merkel stepping down after 16 years in power, and opinion polls showing the race is narrowing, the incentive for interference is unusually high. The Greens, who are…

Albanian opposition will struggle to make headway

Location:

ALBANIA

The cost-of-living crisis in Albania and PS’s declining appeal should help the opposition make significant gains in the local elections scheduled for next May. However, PD’s…

US sanctions will have limited impact on Balkan elites

Location:

BALKANS/UNITED STATES

The US government has identified high-level corruption involving senior officials and politically connected tycoons as a key threat to Western Balkan stability. It sees the fight…

Ukraine invasion will raise Estonian premier’s support

Location:

ESTONIA

For Estonians, the war in Ukraine has awakened traumatic memories of Soviet invasion during the Second World War and generates great sympathy for Ukraine and anger at Russia, as…

Fading support for Ukraine will affect EU policymaking

Location:

EU

This suggests a growing disconnect within European society from the realities of the war and a decrease in the perceived threat posed by Russia. This outcome reflects heightened…

President is eroding Romania’s pluralist democracy

Location:

ROMANIA

His efforts in 2021 to hammer out a coalition between two normally rival parties who hold most of parliament’s seats have undermined competitive politics and scrutiny of…

Lithuania will try to fend off migrants from Belarus

Location:

LITHUANIA

Only eight came in March. The numbers rose markedly after the West's angry reaction in May to Belarus's diversion of an international flight to detain an opposition activist. This…

Gun violence will destabilise Serbian government

Location:

SERBIA

The shootings have unleashed a major political crisis in Serbia, including large-scale anti-government protests. They have also triggered a debate on small arms in the country as…