Foreign influence could affect German elections

Significance

With Angela Merkel stepping down after 16 years in power, and opinion polls showing the race is narrowing, the incentive for interference is unusually high. The Greens, who are polling strongly and advocate a much tougher stance towards China and Russia, are most at risk.

Impacts

• If there is no option for a two-party coalition after the elections, government formation talks will take a long time.
• If elected, Laschet will come under pressure from CDU members to take a tougher line on China.
• After COVID-19, climate change is the most important issue for voters ahead of the elections.