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Ethiopia’s Amhara-Tigray tensions risk new flashpoints

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ETHIOPIA

Amhara forces were central to the federal offensive into Tigray, but their support was in part motivated by a desire to assert claims over strategic areas they say were unfairly…

Sudan border dispute may complicate Ethiopian politics

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ETHIOPIA/SUDAN

The stand-off has reactivated historical tensions over a slice of territory known as the al-Fashaga triangle, which is historically claimed by Sudan but has been cultivated for…

Tigray-Amhara claims may delay Ethiopia peace process

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ETHIOPIA

Territorial disputes between Amhara and Tigray require delicate negotiations. This will likely delay, and could even derail, the peace process.

South Sudan state governance poses threat to stability

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SOUTH SUDAN

State governance in South Sudan and its implications for peace prospects.

Ethiopia's national dialogue faces deep divisions

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ETHIOPIA

The process has so far been mired by delays, leadership issues, capacity concerns and, crucially, a lack of confidence among key stakeholders. These notably include Oromo…

Iranian and Israeli aims will clash again in Syria

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ISRAEL/IRAN

Responding to a drone incursion on February 10, Israel lost its first military aircraft in combat since 1982, provoking a series of major raids against government and Iranian…

New deadline dilemma looms in South Sudan

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SOUTH SUDAN

Little progress has been made since then, including on critical security arrangements, and the parties have given little indication of willingness or capacity to end the deadlock.

New states in South Sudan could entrench patronage

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SOUTH SUDAN

Governance in South Sudan.

Russia dominates Sea of Azov to squeeze Ukraine

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UKRAINE/RUSSIA

The opening of a bridge from southern Russia to Crimea in May has been accompanied by increased naval activity in the enclosed Sea of Azov. The sea's post-Soviet legal status has…

Congress offers few limits on US military action

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UNITED STATES

The US cruise missile strike in response to the Syrian government’s nerve agent attack and hawkish rhetoric coming out of the White House about North Korea have highlighted the…