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Ethiopia’s security reforms aim to consolidate power

Location:

ETHIOPIA

The announcement followed days of violent protests in Amhara region resisting ENDF efforts to confine the region’s special forces to their bases for disarmament. The move…

South Sudan peace deal faces legitimacy gap

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SOUTH SUDAN

Although the ‘transition’ foreseen under that agreement was intended to end with national elections in 2022, the signatories recently agreed to extend the transition by two years…

Middle East regimes will survive lasting instability

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MIDDLE EAST

Regime resilience in the Middle East.

Ethiopia’s Amhara-Oromo unrest poses long-term problem

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ETHIOPIA

However, at the same time, relations between Amharas and Oromos -- the country’s two largest ethnic groups, whose leaders are central to Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed’s domestic power…

Referendum resistance shakes Mali president

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MALI

It did not give a new date or explain the reason, but growing opposition to the referendum was likely a key factor. Still, the government will need a new constitution to provide…

Ethiopia’s Amhara crackdown is calculated but risky

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ETHIOPIA

Thousands of people have been detained, including General Tefera Mamo, a former commander of Amhara regional special forces who was removed from that post in February. The…

Sri Lankan Tamils’ push for reform may prompt violence

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SRI LANKA

Sri Lanka's stalling constitutional reforms and Tamil politics.

Iraqi Kurdish election divisions will erode autonomy

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IRAQ

Tensions have risen over the past year between the ruling Kurdistan Democratic Party (KDP) and the Patriotic Union of Kurdistan (PUK), due to disagreements over the electoral law…

Property disputes will exacerbate Libya conflict

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LIBYA

The impact of the property rights question.

Election uncertainty threatens South Sudan’s stability

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SOUTH SUDAN

Although President Salva Kiir’s allies may be enticed by the prospect of cementing their hegemonic position, other leaders fear that elections would be used to exclude them from…