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Executive summary
Publication date: 19 January 2024
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BALTIC STATES/RUSSIA: NATO will limit Moscow rhetoric
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Executive summary
Publication date: 27 February 2023
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MONTENEGRO: Djukanovic targets pro-Western voters
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 30 December 2019
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Disturbances in the newest NATO member state stems from religious and political affiliation rather than any doctrinal split, pitting pro-Western Montenegrin nationalists and…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 6 August 2018
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It will change if 50%+1 of the electorate participate and 50%+1 of them approve. The government’s greatest hope for winning the referendum may be to provoke the Internal…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 28 December 2018
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Bosnia after elections.
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 11 April 2019
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Dodik, who won the Serb seat on the tripartite BiH presidency in October, has strengthened his position as one of the region’s key politicians. He may use that position to impose…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 24 June 2020
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This is mainly because of Erdogan's politicisation of the Turkish Armed Forces (TSK) after the July 2016 failed coup. His fear of the generals, a power struggle within the TSK…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 13 May 2019
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The stability of Estonia's new coalition.
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 29 June 2020
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Gitanas Nauseda won the second-round presidential election on May 26, 2019, by 67% to Ingrida Simonyte’s 33%. Both ran as independents; the opposition conservative Homeland…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 16 June 2021
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Achieving this would require support either from DF’s partners in the parliamentary majority or from the opposition. However, DF hopes that just the threat of such a move will…

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