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Executive summary
Publication date: 27 February 2024
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CHINA: Beijing will consider commercial retaliation
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Executive summary
Publication date: 12 February 2024
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EU/RUSSIA: Sanctions will target third-country firms
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 27 March 2023
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The deadly tremors on February 6 have ushered in a period of calm in bilateral relations, and Ankara is signalling that it could lift its veto on NATO’s enlargement to Finland and…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 19 October 2022
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This is the most significant upgrade in US-Cyprus relations since the ban was imposed in 1987, and marks a definitive shift for Cyprus from Russia to the West. However, the…

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Executive summary
Publication date: 8 August 2022
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TURKEY/RUSSIA: Turkey’s interests come first in talks
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 1 August 2022
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Turkey has brokered an agreement between Russia and Ukraine for resuming grain shipments through the Black Sea which, if it sticks, will be a substantial diplomatic win for Ankara…

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Executive summary
Publication date: 12 June 2019
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TURKEY/US: Washington will not back down on S-400
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 28 February 2022
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Simultaneous presidential and parliamentary elections are due by mid-2023 at the latest. Opinion polls suggest that support for Erdogan and his Justice and Development Party are…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 1 February 2021
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The ‘exploratory’ meeting is the first between the NATO partners since 2016. It follows months of sabre-rattling in the Eastern Mediterranean, and takes place against the…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 15 July 2019
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Sanctions are triggered under the Countering America’s Adversaries Through Sanctions Act (CAATSA) by Turkey’s acquisition of two Russian S-400 air defence systems. Russia began…

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