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Expert briefing
Publication date: 13 May 2024
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Relations with Moscow have become even more strained since the September 2023 fall of Nagorno-Karabakh, compounding the shock caused by Russia failing to protect Armenia from…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 29 September 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

The changing regional dynamic as Azerbaijan has gained control of Nagorno-Karabakh from Armenia, a traditional Iranian ally, creates a dilemma for Tehran. Iran fears that Turkey…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 23 August 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

However, doubts have arisen over the durability of their partnership, especially given delays in the delivery of the Su-35 Flanker jets that Iran was set to receive from Russia…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 27 September 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

The rapid defeat of ethnic Armenian forces exposed the weakness of Russian security guarantees. Yerevan had already expressed dissatisfaction with Moscow's diminishing ability to…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 21 July 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Relations between Azerbaijan and Iran have tended to oscillate between distrust and outright animosity. However, recent events and official statements signal that the two sides…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 7 June 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Iran perceives that it has become isolated in the South Caucasus, as a result of changing geopolitical relations over the past three years. Israel has increased its presence…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 7 January 2021
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

They have backed opposing sides in the Syrian and Libyan conflicts and pursued different objectives there and in Nagorno-Karabakh, in the hope that conflict trends would benefit…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 2 October 2020
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

The conflict has remained frozen since 1994 partly because external actors have exercised restraint. By contrast, Turkey is now giving Azerbaijan unqualified rhetorical support…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 15 October 2021
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

The ministers agreed that hostile rhetoric on both sides was unhelpful and that dialogue was essential. The phone call is an attempt to salvage a relationship that has gone badly…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 21 December 2020
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

The 2021 presidential programme forecast domestic content in defence projects reaching 71% and arms exports tripling to USD6.2bn. However, that was before Washington banned export…

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