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Expert briefing
Publication date: 4 July 2024
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Bahrain is the only Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) state yet to normalise diplomatic relations with Iran. Their main regional allies, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates…

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Executive summary
Publication date: 4 July 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

TURKEY: Ankara will seek to be the world's mediator
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Executive summary
Publication date: 7 March 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

SYRIA: Foes will seek a return to ‘business as usual’
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 17 February 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

The disaster that has left over 40,000 people dead in south-eastern Turkey and north-western Syria has given Assad an opportunity to bolster his position through deeper political…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 8 August 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

SCO membership will be Tehran’s first experience of a regional defence-security organisation since it withdrew from the Central Treaty Organization (CENTO) in 1979. Iran’s defence…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 11 September 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

The demonstrations were triggered by Assad’s mid-August announcement of big fuel price increases, only partly mitigated by rises in salaries and pensions. However, they have been…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 28 February 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Egypt is the latest Arab state to reach out to Damascus. Spearheaded by Abu Dhabi, these contacts are eroding the isolation policy that has lasted for over a decade since civil…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 28 February 2022
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Simultaneous presidential and parliamentary elections are due by mid-2023 at the latest. Opinion polls suggest that support for Erdogan and his Justice and Development Party are…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 15 July 2019
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Sanctions are triggered under the Countering America’s Adversaries Through Sanctions Act (CAATSA) by Turkey’s acquisition of two Russian S-400 air defence systems. Russia began…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 16 October 2019
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Since the breakdown of the peace process with the Kurdistan Workers Party (PKK) in July 2016, Erdogan’s policy of all-out violence has to outward appearances smashed the Kurds’…

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