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Australia election narrows but Labor hopes hold

Location:

AUSTRALIA

Labor still appears the more likely to secure a parliamentary majority but polls suggest a late rise in coalition support among those over 55, men, and in rural communities, with…

Nigeria’s state polls will sustain fragile status quo

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NIGERIA

Incumbents and incumbent parties fared well in most states, and the ruling All Progressives Congress (APC) won 15 states while the main opposition People’s Democratic Party (PDP…

Cambodia’s Hun Sen faces resistance to succession plan

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CAMBODIA

He said Hun Manet would have to be elected to the post. The next general election is due in 2023. Hun Manet is currently deputy commander-in-chief of the armed forces and part of…

Primary points to political instability in Argentina

Location:

ARGENTINA

After winning over 48.2% of the national vote in the 2019 general elections, the FdT’s vote share dropped to only 31.8%. Recriminations are rife within the government, as well as…

Urban centres will challenge Africa's ruling parties

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AFRICA

Urban discontent also contributed to the failure of South Africa’s ANC to secure a majority of the popular vote in last year’s municipal elections. This occurs against a…

South Africa's Magashule will test Ramaphosa's power

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SOUTH AFRICA

Despite his arrest, Magashule has flouted a ruling that party officials charged with criminal offences must stand down. A key ally of former President Jacob Zuma (2009-18), the…

Iraqi Kurdish poll results will confirm the status quo

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IRAQ

The poll, due last year, was delayed because of the fight against Islamic State and the fallout from the disastrous September 2017 independence referendum. The vote came shortly…

South Sudan faces a rocky road to first elections

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SOUTH SUDAN

The current government’s mandate was meant to end this year. Instead, elections prescribed for 2021 have been delayed to 2023, ostensibly to allow more time to implement the 2018…

Renewed war with PKK may risk Turkey's energy security

Location:

TURKEY

The Justice and Development Party (AKP) has abandoned its long-stalled 'peace process' with the Kurdistan Workers' Party (PKK). In response, the PKK has ended its ceasefire…

Bolivian elections will not bring rapid new government

Location:

BOLIVIA

The interim administration of Jeanine Anez is doing all in its power to reverse policies pursued by former President Evo Morales’s government. It has cut links with previous…