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Divisive politics will undermine Somalia’s security

Location:

SOMALIA

The development has generated headlines due to Somalia’s push to replace Ethiopian troops with Egyptian forces. Less remarked upon but no less consequential is the fact that…

Mexican government human rights failings will continue

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MEXICO

AMLO took power in 2018 promising to address Mexico’s poor human rights record. As his presidency ends, militarised policing has done little to reduce insecurity and authorities…

Threats of instability in Libya abound in 2024

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LIBYA

While a 2020 ceasefire still holds, in the absence of new elections, the political landscape is significantly undermined by institutional rivalry. The country's fragmentation…

Morena to pursue major constitutional change in Mexico

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MEXICO

The party’s new dominance has generated uncertainty about the constitutional reforms it plans to pursue, raising concerns both within Mexico and abroad.

Belarus will remain a dictatorship after Lukashenka

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BELARUS

Lukashenka has constructed a highly centralised and authoritarian system built on strong relations with Moscow. However, hopes for a more democratically inclined successor are…

Iraqi provincial polls will boost incumbent control

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IRAQ

The vote will reinstate provincial councils that were dissolved in 2019, which will in turn choose new provincial governors. The government is determined to hold an effective…

German government will push for EU reforms

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GERMANY

Baerbock used the occasion to push publicly for ambitious EU reform proposals on issues such as qualified majority voting (QMV) and making representation in the European…

Guinean junta will seek to increase control over army

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GUINEA

Most recently, the junta has dismissed some 40 officers following the May arrest and June conviction and death in detention of former junta number two and army chief, Sadiba…

New AU-Somalia mission may face old challenges

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SOMALIA

This included discussions around a proposed successor mission to the AU Transition Mission in Somalia (ATMIS), which is due to withdraw by end-2024.

Algerian president’s win reinforces the status quo

Location:

ALGERIA

His victory, which was widely expected within Algeria and abroad, represents the final defeat of the Hirak protest movement's call for structural change. Tebboune's first term was…