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Abiy may struggle to settle Ethiopia’s Somali east

Location:

ETHIOPIA

The decision follows weeks of unrest in the Ethiopian Somali National Regional State (ESNRS), capped by the August 6 resignation of regional President Abdi Mahmoud Omar ‘Iley’…

Stability in Ethiopia’s Benishangul-Gumuz may not last

Location:

ETHIOPIA

This complements earlier agreements with the two groups in late 2022 that not all factions had subscribed to. Consequently, there is currently no active rebellion in this…

Balance of power in East Africa is shifting

Location:

EAST AFRICA

Kiir's ally, the Ugandan government, yesterday publicly urged him to sign. However, Kampala's credibility among regional neighbours is under strain given the presence of its…

Regional rivalries will reconfigure East Africa coast

Location:

EAST AFRICA

The deal is the latest development in an increasingly frantic race for military and commercial port infrastructure spanning 1,200 kilometres of the Horn of Africa’s coastline…

Gulf alliances leave Eritrea in hostile neighbourhood

Location:

ERITREA

Eritrea and regional geopolitics

Ethiopia’s widening conflict will extend uncertainty

Location:

ETHIOPIA

In response, federal-aligned authorities have started mobilising regional militias and even armed civilians to bolster their regular forces. Both have raised fears of an…

Regional issues will entrench Egypt-Sudan divisions

Location:

SUDAN/EGYPT

Tensions along Africa’s Red Sea coast have been escalating since the beginning of the year. Fraught negotiations over GERD have been at times overshadowed by mutual recriminations…

Disunity among critics will aid South Sudan government

Location:

SOUTH SUDAN

Two years after the peace agreement, South Sudan is still at war -- and political, security, humanitarian and economic conditions are dire. Nevertheless, the balance of power…

Prospects for the Gulf of Aden and Red Sea in 2018-22

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PROSPECTS 2018-22

Prospects for the Gulf of Aden and Red Sea in 2018-22.

Somalia-Turkey pact adds to growing regional tensions

Location:

SOMALIA/TURKEY

This comes shortly after Ethiopia and Somaliland in January signed a deal offering Ethiopia a naval base in Somaliland in exchange for Ethiopia’s recognition of Somaliland as a…