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Colombia post-war insecurity to preclude defence cuts

Location:

COLOMBIA

Military reform plans.

Papua New Guinea instability will increase

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PAPUA NEW GUINEA

Marape's government is attempting to manage growing political fallout from widespread rioting in January, economic dislocation arising from fuel shortages and a spiralling…

Mexico electoral reforms are unlikely to succeed

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MEXICO

President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador (AMLO) has repeatedly accused electoral institutions of being biased and unreliable. Such claims have intensified since the June 6 mid-term…

Myanmar's partial ceasefire faces precarious future

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MYANMAR

Outlook for Myanmar's ceasefire process after eight ethnic armed groups agreed to sign up.

Nigerian insecurity could worsen after polls

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NIGERIA

Attacks by Boko Haram’s two factions pose the greatest immediate danger, but insecurity from banditry in Zamfara and Sokoto states and inter-communal conflicts across much of the…

South Sudan peace deal faces legitimacy gap

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SOUTH SUDAN

Although the ‘transition’ foreseen under that agreement was intended to end with national elections in 2022, the signatories recently agreed to extend the transition by two years…

US federalism complicates cooperation on COVID-19

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UNITED STATES

The response to COVID-19 has therefore seen a patchwork of national and local actions, which in some cases conflict. However, the same system allows local leaders to take critical…

South African government faces public-sector showdown

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SOUTH AFRICA

The negotiations follow the government’s refusal last year to pay the final annual tranche of a previous three-year deal. Containing the public-sector wage bill is seen as key for…

Prospects for Pakistan to end-2019

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PROSPECTS H2 2019

Prospects for Pakistan to end-2019.

South Sudan faces a rocky road to first elections

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SOUTH SUDAN

The current government’s mandate was meant to end this year. Instead, elections prescribed for 2021 have been delayed to 2023, ostensibly to allow more time to implement the 2018…