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Ukrainian public will expect war to end in victory

Location:

UKRAINE

The Russian invasion has changed the lives of millions of Ukrainians, forcing many to seek refuge abroad or move to a safer place within the country. However, the war has pushed…

Russia will hold on in Donbas to pressure Kyiv

Location:

UKRAINE

This follows a February 1 report by The International New York Times that senior US officials were increasingly warming to the idea of providing more significant defensive…

Strikes pose new challenge to Belarus leader

Location:

BELARUS

Police action has so far resulted in more than 6,000 arrests, two deaths and hundreds of injuries. Now workers at major state-run enterprises -- Lukashenka's support base -- are…

Russian-annexed Crimea faces grim economic future

Location:

UKRAINE/RUSSIA

Russia's annexation of Crimea last March has seriously damaged local economic and business conditions. The situation has been made worse by the Crimean government's policy of…

Belarus leader will cling on despite Russian pressure

Location:

BELARUS

Lukashenka's comments reflect his refusal to heed strong Russian hints that his position is in difficulties. Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov's recent trip to Minsk was ostensibly a…

Moscow will keep North Caucasus from Ukraine spillover

Location:

RUSSIA

As the war in Ukraine could end in catastrophic failure, any spike in the intensity of social unrest in the North Caucasus would have perilous consequences for Russia’s power…

Kyrgyz-Tajik border conflict resolution may not work

Location:

CENTRAL ASIA

From April 28, skirmishes between civilians on either side rapidly escalated into heavy exchanges of fire between the two countries' militaries. Occasional clashes occur on this…

Russian aid keeps Georgian breakaway regions in line

Location:

GEORGIA/RUSSIA

Russian financial support for the Georgian breakaway provinces of Abkhazia and South Ossetia.

Prospects for Russian foreign policy in 2019

Location:

PROSPECTS 2019

Prospects for Russian foreign policy in 2019.

Ukraine’s leadership reset will have a limited effect

Location:

UKRAINE

As with the February reshuffle of the military command, these changes have been presented as part of an effort to ‘reset’ decision-making and improve governance. The president's…