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Afghan sides edge reluctantly towards Istanbul talks

Location:

AFGHANISTAN

US officials and the Taliban share a common interest in keeping their 2020 agreement from collapsing, despite harsh language on both sides. They differ on what comes next: US…

Maduro frailty will deepen Venezuela opposition rifts

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VENEZUELA

Economic pressure on Maduro is mounting as foreign companies and banks respond to the August 5 US executive order tightening sanctions to prevent material assistance to his…

India-Israel defence ties will deepen

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INDIA/ISRAEL

Indian-Israeli cooperation in defence trade and manufacturing.

Angola's renewed China dependence will bring more pain

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ANGOLA

However, China’s insistence on negotiating debt relief bilaterally and on a loan-by-loan basis will delay efforts to reschedule borrowing, jeopardising Angola’s debt…

Sudan’s partial peace deal builds positive momentum

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SUDAN

The deal represents a significant milestone in both the peace process and the wider transition. However, it remains only a partial peace, given the absence of the main armed…

Myanmar conflict will be protracted

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MYANMAR

Attacks by anti-junta People's Defence Forces (PDFs), which operate largely autonomously from each other, are taking an increasing toll on the army. Western powers are ramping up…

CAR dialogue may falter amid broader challenges

Location:

CAR

Nevertheless, the political situation remains extremely fragile, rebel activity continues, and allegations of human rights abuses and reports of conflicts over business interests…

Damascus can choose to deal with Ankara or the Kurds

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SYRIA

Washington supported the SDF to fight Islamic State (IS) in Syria. Now that it is largely defeated, there are questions over the superpower’s commitment. The United States has…

Fear of Russia mutes South Caucasus responses

Location:

CAUCASUS

Georgia's evolving position on the conflict has been confused: a refusal to support sanctions followed by a sudden application for EU membership. Armenia's moral qualms are…

Vietnam will rethink its relations with Russia

Location:

VIETNAM

Vietnam is Russia’s closest partner in South-east Asia and has refused to criticise Moscow over the Ukraine war. Between 2000 and 2022, Russia accounted for more than 80% of…