To read the full version of this content please select one of the options below:

Afghan sides edge reluctantly towards Istanbul talks

Tuesday, June 1, 2021

Significance

US officials and the Taliban share a common interest in keeping their 2020 agreement from collapsing, despite harsh language on both sides. They differ on what comes next: US diplomats are still trying to kickstart new negotiations in Istanbul, whereas the Taliban are setting preconditions and trying to downgrade the meeting's significance.

Impacts

  • Wrangling over whether to negotiate at all will reduce the agenda's salience on human rights and legal protections for women.
  • Air cover for Afghan forces will continue from US and possibly UK carrier-launched jets, though not indefinitely.
  • External sponsors of Afghan factions including Iran, Turkey and Russia may increase support for their clients as Ghani pressures them.

Related articles

Expert Briefings logo
Stay up to date
Sign up to the Expert Daily Briefings email alert and receive up-to-the-minute analysis of global events as they happen.
*If your university does not have access to Expert Briefings, visit our information page to find out more.