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Trump UK visit carries risks for May

Location:

UK/US

The visit, sandwiched between the July 11-12 NATO Summit and July 16 meeting of Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin in Helsinki, returns UK Prime Minister Theresa May's…

Contradictions will weaken new US security plan

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UNITED STATES

Mattis’s launch speech is one of the first US foreign policy pronouncements of 2018, and since President Donald Trump’s administration released its NSS on December 18, 2017. NSS…

India-Pakistan tensions will hit US military strategy

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INDIA/PAKISTAN/US

Strategic entanglement of India, Pakistan and the United States.

Pakistan-Iran rapprochement will be limited

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PAKISTAN/IRAN

The deal has economic and geostrategic implications for Pakistan. Islamabad hopes to revive its long-stalled gas pipeline project with Iran and create investment opportunities for…

Russian direct Afghan intervention is unlikely for now

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RUSSIA

Fear of Afghanistan-related instability spilling into Central Asia has already prompted the Kremlin to announce that it will reinforce its military presence in Tajikistan.

Iran will seek closer ties with the Afghan Taliban

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IRAN/AFGHANISTAN

The move emphasises the intense importance of the Taliban takeover for neighbouring Iran. Tehran is balancing fears of potential cross-border violence, immigration and illicit…

Pakistan-US relations are on a downward trajectory

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PAKISTAN/US

Separately, Pakistan is drawing closer to its ‘all-weather’ partner China, a key US rival. Washington’s strategy in the Indo-Pacific increasingly revolves around pushing back on…

India and Central Asian states will boost cooperation

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INDIA/CENTRAL ASIA

The Central Asian leaders were due to be chief guests at India’s Republic Day celebrations a day earlier, but Delhi cancelled that plan in view of the latest surge in COVID-19…

Russia and China will not rush to fill Afghan void

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RUSSIA/CHINA

For both states, a swift takeover of power in Afghanistan is preferable to either prolonged civil war or a power vacuum. Their objectives are more defensive than acquisitive…

Afghanistan's Badakhshan threatens Tajikistan security

Location:

TAJIKISTAN

These are the latest violent incidents in a worsening security situation in Afghanistan. Recent months have seen fighting extend more widely. On June 30, suicide attackers…