Tuesday, September 14, 2021
The move emphasises the intense importance of the Taliban takeover for neighbouring Iran. Tehran is balancing fears of potential cross-border violence, immigration and illicit economic activity against opportunities for increased diplomatic leverage, security cooperation and and economic ties.
- Tehran’s moves to legitimise the Taliban may further alienate Western countries, not least on human rights grounds.
- Iran will use Taliban links to leverage closer ties with Russia and China, as both will welcome it as a regional intermediary.
- The experiences of Islamic Revolution Guard Corps Quds Force head Ismail Ghani in 1990s Afghanistan may influence policy choices.