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War in Ukraine will lend timid boost to EU enlargement

Location:

BALKANS/EU

The Ukraine crisis could give a spur to EU enlargement following years of near-stagnation. However, the immediate implications for the Western Balkans, whose accession has been…

Ukrainian public will expect war to end in victory

Location:

UKRAINE

The Russian invasion has changed the lives of millions of Ukrainians, forcing many to seek refuge abroad or move to a safer place within the country. However, the war has pushed…

AI raises the stakes in wars globally

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

Leading powers are expending enormous human and financial resources to leverage AI tools for military purposes, with uncertain effects. Academic and think-tank discussions about…

Ukrainian forces will struggle to regain initiative

Location:

UKRAINE

Kyiv has used the initial success of this operation to create a positive new narrative to replace the previously dominant characterisation of the war as having shifted in Russia’s…

Eventual Ukrainian offensive will involve more forces

Location:

UKRAINE

These are the first offensive operations using Western equipment and benefitting from NATO countries’ training in their use, and confirm Kyiv’s commitment to counter-offensive…

War of attrition in Ukraine is unlikely to end soon

Location:

UKRAINE

After Ukraine’s summer counter-offensive failed to achieve any of its major objectives, Russia has regained the initiative in the ground war. It captured the frontline fortress…

Ukraine’s EU membership will not be fast-tracked

Location:

EU

This is a morale booster for Kyiv, but a lengthy accession procedure, likely vetoes from pro-Russian or Ukrainian-neutral governments, and uncertainty over the war’s course will…

Ukraine war will shift Black Sea naval balance

Location:

UKRAINE

The strike, followed by attacks against the BSF headquarters on September 22-23, seriously degraded Russian naval power to the advantage of Ukraine and NATO.

Germany’s NSS highlights divisions over strategy

Location:

GERMANY

The NSS provides a comprehensive analysis of German security interests following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, but fails to develop a clear roadmap for German security policy…

NATO will integrate Ukraine gradually

Location:

NATO

Intensified cooperation with NATO, including arms transfers and intelligence sharing, has led to a significant upgrade of Ukraine’s military capabilities and capacity to fight…