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Islamic State finances can withstand oil losses

Location:

SYRIA/IRAQ

The US-led coalition operating in Iraq and Syria has stepped up efforts to disrupt ISG's financial operations in recent months, primarily through the bombing of oil production…

Turkish incursion into Syria needs Russian green light

Location:

SYRIA

President Recep Tayyip Erdogan has repeated his threat of May 23 to invade Syria to "complete" a 30-kilometre-deep ‘safe zone’ and push Kurdish groups away from the border…

Al-Qaida core could keep control of Syria’s Idlib

Location:

SYRIA

The last major rebel-held area in Syria, Idlib province is under the military control of Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS), a salafi-jihadist rebel alliance. Jaysh al-Ahrar, the largest…

New fighting in Congo heightens fears of escalation

Location:

CONGO-KINSHASA

Although the Congolese and Rwandan militaries are not officially involved yet, an escalation of the hostilities could unravel the limited diplomatic progress that has been made in…

M23 advances will aggravate Congo's security crisis

Location:

CONGO-KINSHASA

The fighting apparently started when the Congolese army (FARDC) on October 20 tried to recapture Bunagana, which the rebels seized in June. Instead, a dramatic rebel counterattack…

CAR border areas will face growing insecurity

Location:

CAR

UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres has warned that the security situation could deteriorate further if the parties do not de-escalate. The latest wave of violence is being…

M23’s return will complicate Congo’s security outlook

Location:

CONGO-KINSHASA

The fighting triggered a UN helicopter crash and cross-border clashes with Ugandan troops. The M23 is famous for conquering North Kivu’s capital, Goma, during a 2012-13 rebellion…

Moscow will keep North Caucasus from Ukraine spillover

Location:

RUSSIA

As the war in Ukraine could end in catastrophic failure, any spike in the intensity of social unrest in the North Caucasus would have perilous consequences for Russia’s power…

Afghan opposition faces protracted crisis

Location:

AFGHANISTAN

Unlike Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan, the other Central Asian states that border Afghanistan, Tajikistan is suspicious of the Taliban government in Kabul. Meanwhile, the NRF and…

Syria’s Deraa will see chronic instability and poverty

Location:

SYRIA

This came as Damascus blamed a former rebel leader for the May 4 abduction and killing of nine policemen in the nearby town of Muzayrib. The security situation in Deraa, which…