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Iran will struggle to maintain its position in Syria

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IRAN

Russia is encouraging a rapprochement between Turkey and Syria that does not explicitly include Iran, a key economic and military backer of the Damascus government. Tehran worries…

Iran links will undermine Saudi-Turkish cooperation

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SAUDI ARABIA

In an earlier meeting, the Iranian vice-president told Zeybekci that he distinguished between the positions of Ankara and Riyadh. Rising Iran-Turkey economic links and political…

Syria’s frozen conflict will resist normalisation

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SYRIA

The minister also visited the Syrian embassy in Riyadh, which is preparing to reopen. Damascus aims to highlight another example of the Arab return to ‘business as usual’ with…

Prospects for Russian foreign policy in 2019

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PROSPECTS 2019

Prospects for Russian foreign policy in 2019.

Russia will expand Middle East security and trade role

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MIDDLE EAST

The previous day, the Pentagon said that Moscow was trying to influence events in Libya. Since intervening in Syria in September 2015, President Vladimir Putin has established…

‘Groupthink’ will damage Turkish foreign policy

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TURKEY

Sanctions are triggered under the Countering America’s Adversaries Through Sanctions Act (CAATSA) by Turkey’s acquisition of two Russian S-400 air defence systems. Russia began…

Russian-Saudi interests too divergent for partnership

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RUSSIA/SAUDI ARABIA

King Salman bin Abdulaziz's visit to Moscow in October was hailed as a major step forward in relations, but many of the agreements signed were preliminary or simply confirmation…

Lebanese ‘dissociation’ from Syria will stall

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LEBANON

Ties have been difficult since Prime Minister Saad al-Hariri reversed his Saudi-inspired resignation on November 4, despite his insistence that it was on the basis that all…

Humanitarian funding to Jordan will fall

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JORDAN

While donors increasingly favour development assistance, Jordan still requires emergency humanitarian aid for the near-3 million resident refugees and migrants. Amman worries that…

Damascus’s post-quake normalisation hopes may falter

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SYRIA

Egypt is the latest Arab state to reach out to Damascus. Spearheaded by Abu Dhabi, these contacts are eroding the isolation policy that has lasted for over a decade since civil…