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Mexico murder rates set to rise pre-election

Location:

MEXICO

Security pre-election in Mexico.

Rising Zimbabwean authoritarianism will dent Mnangagwa

Location:

ZIMBABWE

A violent clampdown on the opposition and civil society groups in January and February prompted the US government to renew sanctions, while the UK government has put cooperation…

M23’s return will complicate Congo’s security outlook

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CONGO-KINSHASA

The fighting triggered a UN helicopter crash and cross-border clashes with Ugandan troops. The M23 is famous for conquering North Kivu’s capital, Goma, during a 2012-13 rebellion…

UNCLOS ruling may ease China-South-east Asia tensions

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CHINA/SOUTH-EAST ASIA

A sweeping victory for the Philippines has dismantled any legal basis for expansive Chinese claims across much of the South China Sea.

Strained Mexico-US relations will endure

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MEXICO/US

While talks appear to have been cordial, the United States has since signalled a hardening of its position towards Mexico, announcing that it will challenge Mexico’s energy…

Drug trafficking will worsen insecurity in Costa Rica

Location:

COSTA RICA

Security officials blame the spike in violence on the influence of drug trafficking organisations (DTOs), which have long transited the country but which increasingly are vying to…

West African security aid will produce limited results

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WEST AFRICA

This has been compounded by a recent wave of coups in West Africa by Western-trained officers. Both of these trends, along with continued human rights abuses by state security…

Malaysian-Thai relations will grow steadily

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MALAYSIA/THAILAND

This was his fifth visit to a South-east Asian neighbour since last November. In another development, in-person peace talks aimed at ending Thailand’s southern insurgency…

Federalising Ukraine is unpopular and will be resisted

Location:

UKRAINE

The president has launched a process at the Constitutional Commission that seeks to address one of the main conditions underpinning the Minsk 2.0 process: the decentralisation of…

ASEAN’s 2018 chair likely to bring more stability

Location:

ASEAN

Outlook for the ASEAN chairmanship in 2018.