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Burundi crisis will pose risks for the wider region

Location:

BURUNDI

Regional risks posed by the crisis in Burundi.

Security and demography will boost Israel-Russia ties

Location:

ISRAEL

This followed the Trump-Putin Helsinki summit at which the two leaders discussed Israel’s concerns over the threat from Iran, as the Syrian government regains control over its…

Russia will increase covert Baltic interference

Location:

RUSSIA/BALTICS

In line with such concerns, Estonia held a large military exercise, Hedgehog, on May 4-15, involving 13,000 troops. On May 6, Lithuania launched Lightning Strike, a military…

Radical opposition could form next Kosovo government

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KOSOVO

New coalition government.

Water scarcity will boost Turkey-Syria-Iraq tensions

Location:

IRAQ/SYRIA/TURKEY

Large-scale water capture in Turkish dams upstream has caused long-term shortages elsewhere in the Tigris and Euphrates river basin, notably eastern Syria and southern Iraq…

Influencing Iraq and Syria will have costs for Turkey

Location:

TURKEY

Turkey's attempts to expand its military role in both Iraq and Syria are entangled with major shifts in its relations with the United States and Russia, and in its overall…

Renewed war with PKK may risk Turkey's energy security

Location:

TURKEY

The Justice and Development Party (AKP) has abandoned its long-stalled 'peace process' with the Kurdistan Workers' Party (PKK). In response, the PKK has ended its ceasefire…

Zagreb will leverage Belgrade's EU bid

Location:

CROATIA/SERBIA

Many politicians and people who suffered in the wars of the 1990s in both countries will see the ICJ decision as a miscarriage of justice. The current tense relations between…

Hungary’s Ukraine policy will be driven by pragmatism

Location:

HUNGARY

Hungary’s policy towards Ukraine can appear out of step with the EU mainstream; it opposed the terms of the EU’s sixth package of sanctions against Russia. However, Budapest’s…

Ukraine invasion will raise Estonian premier’s support

Location:

ESTONIA

For Estonians, the war in Ukraine has awakened traumatic memories of Soviet invasion during the Second World War and generates great sympathy for Ukraine and anger at Russia, as…