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Iran will avoid direct conflict but has other options

Location:

IRAN

Washington has increased pressure on Tehran on a near-daily basis since it designated the IRGC as a terrorist organisation on April 8. The United States has imposed new sanctions…

United Arab Emirates military will use proxy warfare

Location:

UNITED ARAB EMIRATES

The UAE military is deeply concerned about both direct and indirect threats from Iran and from Sunni political Islam. It has therefore focused on building alliances with global…

Israel will seek US recompense for Gulf jet sales

Location:

ISRAEL

This includes 50 F-35 stealth jets, 18 MQ-9 Reaper drones and thousands of bombs and missiles. The deal was part of the September 15 Emirati-Israeli normalisation agreement and…

Obama's push on nuclear arms control faces hurdles

Location:

US/INT

The US arms control agenda.

Damascus can manage fragmented military forces

Location:

SYRIA

President Bashar al-Assad's two principal foreign backers, Russia and Iran, support and to some extent direct sizeable forces in Syria on which Assad relies. That contributes to a…

Amman will quietly boost cooperation with Damascus

Location:

JORDAN/SYRIA

The US-Russian-Jordanian July 9 agreement on a ceasefire in southern Syria has achieved calm in the area for now. The southernmost ‘de-escalation zone’ on the Syria-Jordan border…

Russia will show pragmatism in seeking Syria solution

Location:

RUSSIA/SYRIA

Government forces have struggled to make headway in their offensive against the final rebel stronghold in the north-west. That campaign enjoys significant Russian support…

US-Iraq campaign against ISG will strain ties

Location:

US/IRAQ

The day prior, President Barack Obama met with his military and civilian leaders at the Pentagon and offered an upbeat assessment to the media regarding progress to date, despite…

Israeli-US leader ties will be functional but fraught

Location:

ISRAEL/US

This also comes as indirect US nuclear talks with Iran resume in Vienna, despite concerted Israeli opposition. US President Joe Biden is in effect withdrawing the unconditional…

Qatar faces difficult balancing act in ties with Iran

Location:

QATAR

Escalating tensions between the United States and Iran threaten to derail Qatar's delicate geostrategic position as a small, albeit wealthy, fish in a big pond. Qatar has much to…