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South Africa's Magashule will test Ramaphosa's power

Location:

SOUTH AFRICA

Despite his arrest, Magashule has flouted a ruling that party officials charged with criminal offences must stand down. A key ally of former President Jacob Zuma (2009-18), the…

Gbagbo will return to frontline Ivory Coast politics

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IVORY COAST

Instead he aims to create a new party. The FPI has since denied reports of mass defections by the party grassroots to Gbagbo. This comes in the context of broader public…

Creation of Liberian war crimes court may face hurdles

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LIBERIA

President Joseph Boakai is now authorised to submit a legal framework for the courts’ establishment back to the legislature to pass into law.

Kenya opposition election boycott increasingly likely

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KENYA

A boycott would hand power to President Uhuru Kenyatta. However, it could also undermine his government's legitimacy, placing him under pressure to delay the election and reform…

Popular ire may upset ZANU-PF's Zimbabwe election plan

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ZIMBABWE

The ruling ZANU-PF party appears to be trying to control the campaign and outcome to a much greater extent than in 2018. However, this effort is being complicated by record levels…

Strong win by Nigeria's Buhari may prove deceptive

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NIGERIA

Buhari’s victory largely replicated the scope of his 2015 win, with high margins in northern states and victories across most of the south-west and parts of the north-central…

Guinea-Bissau elections may not end instability

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GUINEA-BISSAU

Outlook for presidential elections in Guinea-Bissau.

Kamerhe’s return may fuel Congo’s political volatility

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CONGO-KINSHASA

After years of legal troubles, President Felix Tshisekedi’s former chief of staff used the trip to prove he remains a significant political force, at a time when the entire…

Guinea-Bissau’s Embalo will seek to centralise power

Location:

GUINEA-BISSAU

The end to the UN peace operation came almost three months after the departure of the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) Mission in Guinea Bissau (ECOMIB). The…

Unclear strategy may upend Ivorian opposition chances

Location:

IVORY COAST

It remains unclear whether the main opposition candidate, former President Henri Konan Bedie (1993-99), will propose a boycott of the October 31 polls. Meanwhile, the state…