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Hungary and Slovakia will resist Russian oil phaseout

Location:

HUNGARY/SLOVAKIA

Their warnings of an imminent oil supply crunch were shrugged off by Brussels, which reminded the respective governments that they should make progress on reducing dependence on…

Saudi stability will enable economic progress

Location:

SAUDI ARABIA

The move follows its second initial public offering in June, when it raised more than USD12bn, which helps boost the government's accounts and the country's sovereign wealth fund…

Regional economic output will keep growing in Russia

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RUSSIA

The deterioration in regional finances is driven by falling incomes in oil-producing regions and higher spending by regional governments. Economic activity is recovering after…

Seoul-Pyongyang mutual barbs may not last

Location:

SOUTH KOREA/NORTH KOREA

Meanwhile, Kim Yong-hyun has become the first sitting South Korean defence minister publicly to voice support for nuclear weapons acquisition. Both sides have engaged in bellicose…

Turkey’s Iraq campaign can be sustained indefinitely

Location:

IRAQ

There are no prospects of militarily defeating the PKK, but Ankara is continuing a slow military advance that promises to last many years.

Congo-Rwanda truce may struggle for traction

Location:

CONGO-KINSHASA

This capped a series of recent M23 advances, and came just hours before a ceasefire agreed on July 30 in Luanda by the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) and Rwanda -- but…

Policy priorities will shift in next EU Commission

Location:

EU

Centre-right and populist right-wing parties made gains in June's EP elections. Reflecting pressure from her centre-right European People’s Party (EPP), von der Leyen has…

AI raises the stakes in wars globally

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

Leading powers are expending enormous human and financial resources to leverage AI tools for military purposes, with uncertain effects. Academic and think-tank discussions about…

Ukrainian forces will struggle to regain initiative

Location:

UKRAINE

Kyiv has used the initial success of this operation to create a positive new narrative to replace the previously dominant characterisation of the war as having shifted in Russia’s…

War will continue to threaten Ukrainian economy

Location:

UKRAINE

Although the economy has demonstrated remarkable resilience and survived the initial shock and devastation of the war, the prospects for growth remain bleak. Despite crucial…