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Turkey’s Iraq campaign can be sustained indefinitely

Tuesday, August 6, 2024

Significance

There are no prospects of militarily defeating the PKK, but Ankara is continuing a slow military advance that promises to last many years.

Impacts

  • The Kurds in Syria will seek US support to hold back Turkish military pressure.
  • Progress in Syrian-Turkish relations will hinge on Ankara's readiness to commit to a withdrawal of forces from Syria.
  • Prime Minister Mohammed Shia al-Sudani will try to balance his ties with Washington, Tehran and Ankara to boost his domestic standing.

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