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Prioritising regime loyalty will weaken Turkish army

Location:

TURKEY

This is the third and largest mass trial since the failed coup, and part of the largest legal process in Turkey’s modern history. Although the process aims to purge supporters of…

Russia and China will not rush to fill Afghan void

Location:

RUSSIA/CHINA

For both states, a swift takeover of power in Afghanistan is preferable to either prolonged civil war or a power vacuum. Their objectives are more defensive than acquisitive…

Russia has the edge in managed competition with Turkey

Location:

RUSSIA/TURKEY

They have backed opposing sides in the Syrian and Libyan conflicts and pursued different objectives there and in Nagorno-Karabakh, in the hope that conflict trends would benefit…

Turkey's army reform could turn into power grab

Location:

TURKEY

The impact of the failed July coup on civilian-military relations.

Afghan peace deal will sideline Kabul's interests

Location:

AFGHANISTAN

Several rounds of US-Taliban talks have acquired a dynamism of their own and appear to be close to a deal. Because one element of such an agreement -- a US troop withdrawal -…

Violence may weaken FARC's position in Colombia talks

Location:

COLOMBIA

Colombia confidence measures

Iran recalibrates Afghan tactics via dissident Taliban

Location:

AFGHANISTAN/IRAN

Its objective is not to prevent a US troop withdrawal but to ensure this results in worse terms and maximum embarrassment for Washington, and in greater Iranian influence. To that…

'Total peace' in Colombia will not materialise in 2024

Location:

COLOMBIA

Another government ceasefire with the National Liberation Army (ELN) is due to expire on January 29. Bilateral ceasefires foster some stability amid efforts to negotiate with…

Myanmar peace talks will make little progress

Location:

MYANMAR

The conference is designed to resolve conflicts between the politically powerful military and several ethnically based armed groups. The talks come months before Myanmar holds a…

Yemen's southern forces will face further challenges

Location:

YEMEN

The statement coincided with direct talks in the capital, Sana’a, on April 8-13, between Saudi Arabia and the Shia rebel Huthi movement which controls much of the north. Such…