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Article
Publication date: 1 February 2004

Peter Hayward

This paper introduces the Viable Systems Model and in particular the Meta System component of that model, as a framework within which to consider how foresight can be…

Abstract

This paper introduces the Viable Systems Model and in particular the Meta System component of that model, as a framework within which to consider how foresight can be facilitated in organisations. Shows how the System 4 function within the meta system is in a position to facilitate processes that will produce effectiveness and the development of overall system identity. Also shows how adopting another framework for understanding the paradigms or worldviews that operate in organisations can enhance the likelihood that these processes will be successful.

Details

Foresight, vol. 6 no. 1
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 1463-6689

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Article
Publication date: 1 June 2005

Richard A. Slaughter

The war in Iraq raises questions about the global world order and this article aims to suggest the need for us to awaken to fresh thinking on the problems facing the world.

Abstract

Purpose

The war in Iraq raises questions about the global world order and this article aims to suggest the need for us to awaken to fresh thinking on the problems facing the world.

Design/methodology/approach

A brief analysis of the global problematic is presented. Next, the article concentrates on some of the ways in which futurists can respond. The third section takes up the theme of what it means to “wake up” at the cultural level. Finally the paper considers some examples of “post‐conventional” futures work.

Findings

The article describes advanced forms of futures enquiry and action that are being developed to help people to engage in‐depth with the multiple crises that threaten the world and its nascent futures.

Originality/value

The article provides a basis for futurists and foresight practitioners to find the “levers of change”, the strategies, the enabling contexts and pathways to social foresight.

Details

Foresight, vol. 7 no. 3
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 1463-6689

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Article
Publication date: 1 April 1992

Peter Hayward

Provides a broad overview of the European Community′s activities inthe field of civil and environmental emergencies, and within the contextof current and recent political…

Abstract

Provides a broad overview of the European Community′s activities in the field of civil and environmental emergencies, and within the context of current and recent political developments in Europe, projects the Commission′s future role in its response to ecological disasters. Stresses that the Community has a vital role to play, particularly in such areas as co‐ordination of response, training and the provision of expertise. The Community can provide an added value over and above the capacities of individual member states. Close co‐operation with competent authorities in member states is advocated.

Details

Disaster Prevention and Management: An International Journal, vol. 1 no. 1
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 0965-3562

Keywords

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Article
Publication date: 1 February 2003

Colin Blackman

Abstract

Details

Foresight, vol. 5 no. 1
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 1463-6689

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Article
Publication date: 1 February 2003

Peter Hayward

Why is foresight research often unable to create foresight actions? This paper explores whether an individual’s psychological development could be a factor. It employs the…

Abstract

Why is foresight research often unable to create foresight actions? This paper explores whether an individual’s psychological development could be a factor. It employs the work of Jane Loevinger as a basis for exploring this hypothesis. It also examines the findings of the Global Lookout Panel which identified the factors needed for successful implementation of futures research.

Details

Foresight, vol. 5 no. 1
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 1463-6689

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Article
Publication date: 11 April 2008

Jesus Navarro, Peter Hayward and Joseph Voros

The purpose of this paper is to report on how foresight methods are being used to address a “wicked problem” for the global furniture industry: “What are we going to do in

Abstract

Purpose

The purpose of this paper is to report on how foresight methods are being used to address a “wicked problem” for the global furniture industry: “What are we going to do in the furniture industry in high cost countries (HCC) to maintain our future competitiveness with respect to the competition coming from low cost countries?”

Design/methodology/approach

This study explores one sectorial initiative, CEFFOR® (Furniture Foresight Centre, headquarters in Valencia, Spain), that attempts to mitigate the negative impact of globalisation on the competitiveness of the furniture industry in HCCs, by creating a vision of a preferable future through the use of a set of qualitative foresight tools (structural analysis, morphological analysis/field anomaly relaxation, and cross impact analysis) involving a worldwide expert panel.

Findings

This paper examines the set‐up phase of the CEFFOR initiative, and describes the main elements of the morphological space developed to profile possible future configurations of the global furniture industry. Future papers will report on further model development and the subsequent take‐up of this work.

Practical implications

The approach used could be adapted to a variety of other industrial sectors. While this study examines a traditional industrial sector, there is no conceptual limitation on its use in other sectors, although such adaptation should clearly remain alert to the unique aspects of any industry.

Originality/value

The novelty of this initiative is the application of a normative foresight approach in a traditional industrial sector in order to generate a shared vision of a sustainable future, and to integrate this foresight approach with an existing business intelligence system.

Details

Foresight, vol. 10 no. 2
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 1463-6689

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Article
Publication date: 1 September 2004

Andy Hines

The Australian Foresight Institute has brought out a collection of essays that provide a wonderful introduction into the realm of integral thinking as being brought into…

Abstract

The Australian Foresight Institute has brought out a collection of essays that provide a wonderful introduction into the realm of integral thinking as being brought into foresight and futures studies. They suggest a broader, more‐encompassing framework for understanding the future and providing context for what's going on today. Two essays explore foresight in everyday life and conclude that “foresight is something that can be improved with practice.” The second entry looks at how two leading practitioners, Richard Slaughter and Sohail Inayatullah, are applying critical thinking to foresight and challenging the taken‐for‐granted and probing for hidden assumptions. The third brings integral thinking to critique national science and technology foresight exercises. The final entry is a collection of three papers on the topic of “Reframing environmental scanning” that makes the case for a new approach and then lays out early progress in that direction.

Details

On the Horizon, vol. 12 no. 3
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 1074-8121

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Article
Publication date: 9 August 2013

Richard A. Slaughter

The purpose of this paper is to give an introductory overview of the special issue of On the Horizon (OTH) on responses to the author's book, The Biggest Wake‐up Call in

Abstract

Purpose

The purpose of this paper is to give an introductory overview of the special issue of On the Horizon (OTH) on responses to the author's book, The Biggest Wake‐up Call in History (BWCH).

Design/methodology/approach

The author does not comment on all the contributions to this special issue, but summarises his view of some of the most valuable suggestions for further work that have been put forward.

Findings

The author's view is that, overall, these contributions to the special issue of OTH more than fulfil the goal of commenting on and, in some cases, extending the core concerns of BWCH.

Originality/value

If the BWCH and the papers presented in this special issue can play even a small part in the process of waking up and taking responsibility then people can all breathe a little easier. People can look their kids in the eye and know that they know the present generation did what was required as well as it could.

Details

On the Horizon, vol. 21 no. 3
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 1074-8121

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Article
Publication date: 1 April 1980

Gates Learjet Corporation will soon begin a $7.2 million expansion of its customer service facilities to provide increased product support to owners of some 1,000 Learjets…

Abstract

Gates Learjet Corporation will soon begin a $7.2 million expansion of its customer service facilities to provide increased product support to owners of some 1,000 Learjets throughout the world.

Details

Aircraft Engineering and Aerospace Technology, vol. 52 no. 4
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 0002-2667

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Article
Publication date: 1 May 2003

Martin Guha

Abstract

Details

Reference Reviews, vol. 17 no. 5
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 0950-4125

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