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Article
Publication date: 31 December 2021

Alireza Sedighi Fard

This study aims to compare many artificial neural network (ANN) methods to find out which method is better for the prediction of Covid19 number of cases in N steps ahead of the…

Abstract

Purpose

This study aims to compare many artificial neural network (ANN) methods to find out which method is better for the prediction of Covid19 number of cases in N steps ahead of the current time. Therefore, the authors can be more ready for similar issues in the future.

Design/methodology/approach

The authors are going to use many ANNs in this study including, five different long short-term memory (LSTM) methods, polynomial regression (from degree 2 to 5) and online dynamic unsupervised feedforward neural network (ODUFFNN). The authors are going to use these networks over a data set of Covid19 number of cases gathered by World Health Organization. After 1,000 epochs for each network, the authors are going to calculate the accuracy of each network, to be able to compare these networks by their performance and choose the best method for the prediction of Covid19.

Findings

The authors concluded that for most of the cases LSTM could predict Covid19 cases with an accuracy of more than 85% after LSTM networks ODUFFNN had medium accuracy of 45% but this network is highly flexible and fast computing. The authors concluded that polynomial regression cant is a good method for the specific purpose.

Originality/value

Considering the fact that Covid19 is a new global issue, less studies have been conducted with a comparative approach toward the prediction of Covid19 using ANN methods to introduce the best model of the prediction of this virus.

Details

foresight, vol. 24 no. 3/4
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 1463-6689

Keywords

Article
Publication date: 3 November 2020

Femi Emmanuel Ayo, Olusegun Folorunso, Friday Thomas Ibharalu and Idowu Ademola Osinuga

Hate speech is an expression of intense hatred. Twitter has become a popular analytical tool for the prediction and monitoring of abusive behaviors. Hate speech detection with…

Abstract

Purpose

Hate speech is an expression of intense hatred. Twitter has become a popular analytical tool for the prediction and monitoring of abusive behaviors. Hate speech detection with social media data has witnessed special research attention in recent studies, hence, the need to design a generic metadata architecture and efficient feature extraction technique to enhance hate speech detection.

Design/methodology/approach

This study proposes a hybrid embeddings enhanced with a topic inference method and an improved cuckoo search neural network for hate speech detection in Twitter data. The proposed method uses a hybrid embeddings technique that includes Term Frequency-Inverse Document Frequency (TF-IDF) for word-level feature extraction and Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) which is a variant of recurrent neural networks architecture for sentence-level feature extraction. The extracted features from the hybrid embeddings then serve as input into the improved cuckoo search neural network for the prediction of a tweet as hate speech, offensive language or neither.

Findings

The proposed method showed better results when tested on the collected Twitter datasets compared to other related methods. In order to validate the performances of the proposed method, t-test and post hoc multiple comparisons were used to compare the significance and means of the proposed method with other related methods for hate speech detection. Furthermore, Paired Sample t-Test was also conducted to validate the performances of the proposed method with other related methods.

Research limitations/implications

Finally, the evaluation results showed that the proposed method outperforms other related methods with mean F1-score of 91.3.

Originality/value

The main novelty of this study is the use of an automatic topic spotting measure based on naïve Bayes model to improve features representation.

Details

International Journal of Intelligent Computing and Cybernetics, vol. 13 no. 4
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 1756-378X

Keywords

Article
Publication date: 12 April 2024

Youwei Li and Jian Qu

The purpose of this research is to achieve multi-task autonomous driving by adjusting the network architecture of the model. Meanwhile, after achieving multi-task autonomous…

Abstract

Purpose

The purpose of this research is to achieve multi-task autonomous driving by adjusting the network architecture of the model. Meanwhile, after achieving multi-task autonomous driving, the authors found that the trained neural network model performs poorly in untrained scenarios. Therefore, the authors proposed to improve the transfer efficiency of the model for new scenarios through transfer learning.

Design/methodology/approach

First, the authors achieved multi-task autonomous driving by training a model combining convolutional neural network and different structured long short-term memory (LSTM) layers. Second, the authors achieved fast transfer of neural network models in new scenarios by cross-model transfer learning. Finally, the authors combined data collection and data labeling to improve the efficiency of deep learning. Furthermore, the authors verified that the model has good robustness through light and shadow test.

Findings

This research achieved road tracking, real-time acceleration–deceleration, obstacle avoidance and left/right sign recognition. The model proposed by the authors (UniBiCLSTM) outperforms the existing models tested with model cars in terms of autonomous driving performance. Furthermore, the CMTL-UniBiCL-RL model trained by the authors through cross-model transfer learning improves the efficiency of model adaptation to new scenarios. Meanwhile, this research proposed an automatic data annotation method, which can save 1/4 of the time for deep learning.

Originality/value

This research provided novel solutions in the achievement of multi-task autonomous driving and neural network model scenario for transfer learning. The experiment was achieved on a single camera with an embedded chip and a scale model car, which is expected to simplify the hardware for autonomous driving.

Details

Data Technologies and Applications, vol. ahead-of-print no. ahead-of-print
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 2514-9288

Keywords

Article
Publication date: 30 July 2024

Saleh Abu Dabous, Fakhariya Ibrahim and Ahmad Alzghoul

Bridge deterioration is a critical risk to public safety, which mandates regular inspection and maintenance to ensure sustainable transport services. Many models have been…

Abstract

Purpose

Bridge deterioration is a critical risk to public safety, which mandates regular inspection and maintenance to ensure sustainable transport services. Many models have been developed to aid in understanding deterioration patterns and in planning maintenance actions and fund allocation. This study aims at developing a deep-learning model to predict the deterioration of concrete bridge decks.

Design/methodology/approach

Three long short-term memory (LSTM) models are formulated to predict the condition rating of bridge decks, namely vanilla LSTM (vLSTM), stacked LSTM (sLSTM), and convolutional neural networks combined with LSTM (CNN-LSTM). The models are developed by utilising the National Bridge Inventory (NBI) datasets spanning from 2001 to 2019 to predict the deck condition ratings in 2021.

Findings

Results reveal that all three models have accuracies of 90% and above, with mean squared errors (MSE) between 0.81 and 0.103. Moreover, CNN-LSTM has the best performance, achieving an accuracy of 93%, coefficient of correlation of 0.91, R2 value of 0.83, and MSE of 0.081.

Research limitations/implications

The study used the NBI bridge inventory databases to develop the bridge deterioration models. Future studies can extend the model to other bridge databases and other applications in the construction industry.

Originality/value

This study provides a detailed and extensive data cleansing process to address the shortcomings in the NBI database. This research presents a framework for implementing artificial intelligence-based models to enhance maintenance planning and a guideline for utilising the NBI or other bridge inventory databases to develop accurate bridge deterioration models. Future studies can extend the model to other bridge databases and other applications in the construction industry.

Details

Smart and Sustainable Built Environment, vol. ahead-of-print no. ahead-of-print
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 2046-6099

Keywords

Article
Publication date: 15 May 2019

Haoqiang Shi, Shaolin Hu and Jiaxu Zhang

Abnormal changes in temperature directly affect the stability and reliability of a gyroscope. Predicting the temperature and detecting the abnormal change is great value for…

Abstract

Purpose

Abnormal changes in temperature directly affect the stability and reliability of a gyroscope. Predicting the temperature and detecting the abnormal change is great value for timely understanding of the working state of the gyroscope. Considering that the actual collected gyroscope shell temperature data have strong non-linearity and are accompanied by random noise pollution, the prediction accuracy and convergence speed of the traditional method need to be improved. The purpose of this paper is to use a predictive model with strong nonlinear mapping ability to predict the temperature of the gyroscope to improve the prediction accuracy and detect the abnormal change.

Design/methodology/approach

In this paper, an double hidden layer long-short term memory (LSTM) is presented to predict temperature data for the gyroscope (including single point and period prediction), and the evaluation index of the prediction effect is also proposed, and the prediction effects of shell temperature data are compared by BP network, support vector machine (SVM) and LSTM network. Using the estimated value detects the abnormal change of the gyroscope.

Findings

By combined simulation calculation with the gyroscope measured data, the effect of different network hyperparameters on shell temperature prediction of the gyroscope is analyzed, and the LSTM network can be used to predict the temperature (time series data). By comparing the performance indicators of different prediction methods, the accuracy of the shell temperature estimation by LSTM is better, which can meet the requirements of abnormal change detection. Quick and accurate diagnosis of different types of gyroscope faults (steps and drifts) can be achieved by setting reasonable data window lengths and thresholds.

Practical implications

The LSTM model is a deep neural network model with multiple non-linear mapping levels, and can abstract the input signal layer by layer and extract features to discover deeper underlying laws. The improved method has been used to solve the problem of strong non-linearity and random noise pollution in time series, and the estimated value can detect the abnormal change of the gyroscope.

Originality/value

In this paper, based on the LSTM network, an double hidden layer LSTM is presented to predict temperature data for the gyroscope (including single point and period prediction), and validate the effectiveness and feasibility of the algorithm by using shell temperature measurement data. The prediction effects of shell temperature data are compared by BP network, SVM and LSTM network. The LSTM network has the best prediction effect, and is used to predict the temperature of the gyroscope to improve the prediction accuracy and detect the abnormal change.

Details

International Journal of Intelligent Computing and Cybernetics, vol. 12 no. 2
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 1756-378X

Keywords

Article
Publication date: 9 April 2024

Lu Wang, Jiahao Zheng, Jianrong Yao and Yuangao Chen

With the rapid growth of the domestic lending industry, assessing whether the borrower of each loan is at risk of default is a pressing issue for financial institutions. Although…

Abstract

Purpose

With the rapid growth of the domestic lending industry, assessing whether the borrower of each loan is at risk of default is a pressing issue for financial institutions. Although there are some models that can handle such problems well, there are still some shortcomings in some aspects. The purpose of this paper is to improve the accuracy of credit assessment models.

Design/methodology/approach

In this paper, three different stages are used to improve the classification performance of LSTM, so that financial institutions can more accurately identify borrowers at risk of default. The first approach is to use the K-Means-SMOTE algorithm to eliminate the imbalance within the class. In the second step, ResNet is used for feature extraction, and then two-layer LSTM is used for learning to strengthen the ability of neural networks to mine and utilize deep information. Finally, the model performance is improved by using the IDWPSO algorithm for optimization when debugging the neural network.

Findings

On two unbalanced datasets (category ratios of 700:1 and 3:1 respectively), the multi-stage improved model was compared with ten other models using accuracy, precision, specificity, recall, G-measure, F-measure and the nonparametric Wilcoxon test. It was demonstrated that the multi-stage improved model showed a more significant advantage in evaluating the imbalanced credit dataset.

Originality/value

In this paper, the parameters of the ResNet-LSTM hybrid neural network, which can fully mine and utilize the deep information, are tuned by an innovative intelligent optimization algorithm to strengthen the classification performance of the model.

Details

Kybernetes, vol. ahead-of-print no. ahead-of-print
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 0368-492X

Keywords

Open Access
Article
Publication date: 11 May 2023

Marco D’Orazio, Gabriele Bernardini and Elisa Di Giuseppe

This paper aims to develop predictive methods, based on recurrent neural networks, useful to support facility managers in building maintenance tasks, by collecting information…

2803

Abstract

Purpose

This paper aims to develop predictive methods, based on recurrent neural networks, useful to support facility managers in building maintenance tasks, by collecting information coming from a computerized maintenance management system (CMMS).

Design/methodology/approach

This study applies data-driven and text-mining approaches to a CMMS data set comprising more than 14,500 end-users’ requests for corrective maintenance actions, collected over 14 months. Unidirectional long short-term memory (LSTM) and bidirectional LSTM (Bi-LSTM) recurrent neural networks are trained to predict the priority of each maintenance request and the related technical staff assignment. The data set is also used to depict an overview of corrective maintenance needs and related performances and to verify the most relevant elements in the building and how the current facility management (FM) relates to the requests.

Findings

The study shows that LSTM and Bi-LSTM recurrent neural networks can properly recognize the words contained in the requests, thus correctly and automatically assigning the priority and predicting the technical staff to assign for each end-user’s maintenance request. The obtained global accuracy is very high, reaching 93.3% for priority identification and 96.7% for technical staff assignment. Results also show the main critical building elements for maintenance requests and the related intervention timings.

Research limitations/implications

This work shows that LSTM and Bi-LSTM recurrent neural networks can automate the assignment process of end-users’ maintenance requests if trained with historical CMMS data. Results are promising; however, the trained LSTM and Bi-LSTM RNN can be applied only to different hospitals adopting similar categorization.

Practical implications

The data-driven and text-mining approaches can be integrated into the CMMS to support corrective maintenance management by facilities management contractors, i.e. to properly and timely identify the actions to be carried out and the technical staff to assign.

Social implications

The improvement of the maintenance of the health-care system is a key component of improving health service delivery. This work shows how to reduce health-care service interruptions due to maintenance needs through machine learning methods.

Originality/value

This study develops original methods and tools easily integrable into IT workflow systems (i.e. CMMS) in the FM field.

Article
Publication date: 14 May 2024

Panagiotis Karaiskos, Yuvaraj Munian, Antonio Martinez-Molina and Miltiadis Alamaniotis

Exposure to indoor air pollutants poses a significant health risk, contributing to various ailments such as respiratory and cardiovascular diseases. These unhealthy consequences…

Abstract

Purpose

Exposure to indoor air pollutants poses a significant health risk, contributing to various ailments such as respiratory and cardiovascular diseases. These unhealthy consequences are specifically alarming for athletes during exercise due to their higher respiratory rate. Therefore, studying, predicting and curtailing exposure to indoor air contaminants during athletic activities is essential for fitness facilities. The objective of this study is to develop a neural network model designed for predicting optimal (in terms of health) occupancy intervals using monitored indoor air quality (IAQ) data.

Design/methodology/approach

This research study presents an innovative approach employing a long short-term memory (LSTM) recurrent neural network (RNN) to determine optimal occupancy intervals for ensuring the safety and well-being of occupants. The dataset was collected over a 3-month monitoring campaign, encompassing 15 meteorological and indoor environmental parameters monitored. All the parameters were monitored in 5-min intervals, resulting in a total of 77,520 data points. The dataset collection parameters included the building’s ventilation methods as well as the level of occupancy. Initial preprocessing involved computing the correlation matrix and identifying highly correlated variables to serve as inputs for the LSTM network model.

Findings

The findings underscore the efficacy of the proposed artificial intelligence model in forecasting indoor conditions, yielding highly specific predicted time slots. Using the training dataset and established threshold values, the model effectively identifies benign periods for occupancy. Validation of the predicted time slots is conducted utilizing features chosen from the correlation matrix and their corresponding standard ranges. Essentially, this process determines the ratio of recommended to non-recommended timing intervals.

Originality/value

Humans do not have the capacity to process this data and make such a relevant decision, though the complexity of the parameters of IAQ imposes significant barriers to human decision-making, artificial intelligence and machine learning systems, which are different. Present research utilizing multilayer perceptron (MLP) and LSTM algorithms for evaluating indoor air pollution levels lacks the capability to predict specific time slots. This study aims to fill this gap in evaluation methodologies. Therefore, the utilized LSTM-RNN model can provide a day-ahead prediction of indoor air pollutants, making its competency far beyond the human being’s and regular sensors' capacities.

Details

Smart and Sustainable Built Environment, vol. ahead-of-print no. ahead-of-print
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 2046-6099

Keywords

Article
Publication date: 12 January 2024

Wei Xiao, Zhongtao Fu, Shixian Wang and Xubing Chen

Because of the key role of joint torque in industrial robots (IRs) motion performance control and energy consumption calculation and efficiency optimization, the purpose of this…

Abstract

Purpose

Because of the key role of joint torque in industrial robots (IRs) motion performance control and energy consumption calculation and efficiency optimization, the purpose of this paper is to propose a deep learning torque prediction method based on long short-term memory (LSTM) recurrent neural networks optimized by particle swarm optimization (PSO), which can accurately predict the the joint torque.

Design/methodology/approach

The proposed model optimized the LSTM with PSO algorithm to accurately predict the IRs joint torque. The authors design an excitation trajectory for ABB 1600–10/145 experimental robot and collect its relative dynamic data. The LSTM model was trained with the experimental data, and PSO was used to find optimal number of LSTM nodes and learning rate, then a torque prediction model is established based on PSO-LSTM deep learning method. The novel model is used to predict the robot’s six joint torque and the root mean error squares of the predicted data together with least squares (LS) method were comparably studied.

Findings

The predicted joint torque value by PSO-LSTM deep learning approach is highly overlapped with those from real experiment robot, and the error is quite small. The average square error between the predicted joint torque data and experiment data is 2.31 N.m smaller than that with the LS method. The accuracy of the novel PSO-LSTM learning method for joint torque prediction of IR is proved.

Originality/value

PSO and LSTM model are deeply integrated for the first time to predict the joint torque of IR and the prediction accuracy is verified.

Details

Industrial Robot: the international journal of robotics research and application, vol. 51 no. 3
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 0143-991X

Keywords

Article
Publication date: 27 June 2023

Fatemeh Binesh, Amanda Mapel Belarmino, Jean-Pierre van der Rest, Ashok K. Singh and Carola Raab

This study aims to propose a risk-induced game theoretic forecasting model to predict average daily rate (ADR) under COVID-19, using an advanced recurrent neural network.

Abstract

Purpose

This study aims to propose a risk-induced game theoretic forecasting model to predict average daily rate (ADR) under COVID-19, using an advanced recurrent neural network.

Design/methodology/approach

Using three data sets from upper-midscale hotels in three locations (i.e. urban, interstate and suburb), from January 1, 2018, to August 31, 2020, three long-term, short-term memory (LSTM) models were evaluated against five traditional forecasting models.

Findings

The models proposed in this study outperform traditional methods, such that the simplest LSTM model is more accurate than most of the benchmark models in two of the three tested hotels. In particular, the results show that traditional methods are inefficient in hotels with rapid fluctuations of demand and ADR, as observed during the pandemic. In contrast, LSTM models perform more accurately for these hotels.

Research limitations/implications

This study is limited by its use of American data and data from midscale hotels as well as only predicting ADR.

Practical implications

This study produced a reliable, accurate forecasting model considering risk and competitor behavior.

Theoretical implications

This paper extends the application of game theory principles to ADR forecasting and combines it with the concept of risk for forecasting during uncertain times.

Originality/value

This study is the first study, to the best of the authors’ knowledge, to use actual hotel data from the COVID-19 pandemic to determine an appropriate neural network forecasting method for times of uncertainty. The application of Shapley value and operational risk obtained a game-theoretic property-level model, which fits best.

Details

International Journal of Contemporary Hospitality Management, vol. 36 no. 4
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 0959-6119

Keywords

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