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Israel will play up Syria actions but avoid escalation

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ISRAEL

This comes amid a recent rise in Israeli military operations in Syria as part of efforts to prevent Iranian military entrenchment and supply of weapons to sympathetic groups.

Lower rates will return, amplify and raise challenges

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INTERNATIONAL

The identification of the impact of wars and pandemics on interest rates has been difficult for lack of data. Recent research efforts have overcome this. Pandemics tend to push…

Russia-Turkey aim to freeze Libya but others will stir

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LIBYA

Regional and global powers will determine whether there will be conflict around the city of Sirte, the scale of the fighting, the short-term future of Libya's oil industry, and…

Rabat’s maritime sector will help geopolitical aims

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MOROCCO

Existing conditions facilitate this: the country's open economy is highly dependent on foreign trade, it enjoys access to Mediterranean and Atlantic routes and ongoing…

Party priorities decide China’s public appointments

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CHINA

The systems through which officials rise, especially to key positions, and the reasons for their progression, reflect the Communist Party’s priorities and its approach to…

Haftar will retain personal control in east Libya

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LIBYA

Earlier, on July 8, another son, Saddam, accompanied him to a meeting with a tribal representative. As Haftar turns 80 this year, there are ongoing rumours regarding his health…

Military abuses will fuel West African jihadist growth

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WEST AFRICA

The attack reflects a broader jihadist threat to the northern peripheries of the four coastal states bordering Burkina Faso. Benin and Togo have suffered a series of jihadist…

Russia has the edge in managed competition with Turkey

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RUSSIA/TURKEY

They have backed opposing sides in the Syrian and Libyan conflicts and pursued different objectives there and in Nagorno-Karabakh, in the hope that conflict trends would benefit…

Lopez liberation will not ease Venezuela opposition

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VENEZUELA

In an unexpected move, opposition leader Leopoldo Lopez was granted house arrest on July 8 after serving three years of a 14-year prison sentence linked to violent anti-government…

Turkish rapprochement with West will be selective

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TURKEY

The ‘exploratory’ meeting is the first between the NATO partners since 2016. It follows months of sabre-rattling in the Eastern Mediterranean, and takes place against the…