Index

Macroeconomic Risk and Growth in the Southeast Asian Countries: Insight from Indonesia

ISBN: 978-1-83797-043-8, eISBN: 978-1-83797-042-1

ISSN: 1571-0386

Publication date: 9 November 2023

This content is currently only available as a PDF

Citation

(2023), "Index", Barnett, W.A. and Sergi, B.S. (Ed.) Macroeconomic Risk and Growth in the Southeast Asian Countries: Insight from Indonesia (International Symposia in Economic Theory and Econometrics, Vol. 33A), Emerald Publishing Limited, Leeds, pp. 181-186. https://doi.org/10.1108/S1571-03862023000033A014

Publisher

:

Emerald Publishing Limited

Copyright © 2024 William A. Barnett and Bruno S. Sergi


INDEX

Abnormal operating cash flow (AB_CFO)
, 39–40

Accrual earnings management
, 36

Accurate regulations
, 91

Achievement motivation (AM)
, 142–144

Actors
, 121

Adaptability
, 146

Additional analysis
, 136–137

Additivity
, 97

Adjusted Sharpe ratio
, 63

Age
, 112

Altruism or concern for family
, 108

Annual probit regression analysis
, 67

ARDL model
, 10

Asset price volatility
, 10

Asset prices and returns
, 5

Asset pricing model
, 64, 68–71

Asymmetric information
, 5

Augmented–Dickey–Fuller statistics (ADF statistics)
, 72–73

Average Variance Extracted (AVE)
, 26, 158

Bank stability
, 48

literature review
, 49–51

methodology
, 51–53

results
, 53–57

Banking
, 48

Banks
, 48

liberalization
, 54

market power
, 49, 52

Bitcoin
, 84

Bond spreads
, 3

Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa (BRICS)
, 65

Business risk
, 2

(see also Systemic risk)
premium
, 3, 5

Capital Asset Pricing Theory (CAPM)
, 63, 70

Cash flow (CF)
, 4, 7, 9

Central banks
, 84

Central Bureau of Statistics (BPS)
, 94, 108

CEO tenure
, 174

Coefficient of variation (CV)
, 132

Company performance
, 173–174

Competition
, 49–50

Competition-fragility view
, 50

Competition-stability view
, 50

Composite reliability
, 26, 149

Conditional value at risk method (CoVaR method)
, 85–86

Conservative minus aggressive (CMA)
, 70

Consumption
, 110

based on LC-PIH
, 112–115

based on life cycle hypothesis
, 111–112

based on permanent income hypothesis
, 110–111

Convergences Actors X Actors (3CAA)
, 121

Convergent validity
, 148

measurements
, 26

Corporate debt
, 40

Corporate governance (CG)
, 62–63

Correlation analysis
, 53

Correlation matrix
, 26

COVID-19
, 94

pandemic
, 48, 84

Credit market vulnerabilities
, 84

Crisis
, 48

Cronbach’s alpha
, 26

Cross-loadings
, 26, 158

criterion
, 160–162

Cross-sectional regression
, 39

Cross-sectional risk
, 7–8

Data
, 51

Debt level
, 128

Debt-to-GDP ratio
, 4

Debt–Service Ratio (DSR)
, 4, 7–10

Default spread
, 2

Dependent variables
, 52

Descriptive statistics
, 10–11, 40–41, 53

Digital finance adoption
, 48

Digital finance expansion
, 54

Discriminant validity
, 148–149, 158

testing
, 160–165

Diversification
, 49–50, 54

Dividend yield
, 2

Dual banking system
, 85

Earnings managements
, 36

Econometrics model
, 40

Economic sector shocks in Jakarta
, 97–98

Economic strategies
, 175

Economic theory
, 110

Entrepreneurial orientation
, 159

Equally-weighted averages (EW)
, 63

Estimation method
, 71–72

Ethical leadership
, 145

Explanatory variables
, 52–53

Fama–French five factors (5FF)
, 66

Fama–French–Carhart four factors (4FFC)
, 64–65

Fama–MacBeth regression
, 72

Family firms
, 36

Family owners
, 37

Family ownership
, 37–39

Federal Reserve
, 84

Financial deregulation
, 50

Financial friction (FF)
, 3, 7, 9

Financial inclusion
, 110

literature review
, 110–115

materials and methods
, 115–116

results
, 116–123

Financial information
, 128

Financial literacy
, 21–24

Financial market indicators
, 6

Financial performance
, 159

Financial statements
, 36

Financial technology
, 50

Firm value

literature review and hypothesis development
, 129–130

method
, 130–132

results
, 132–137

Firms
, 39–40

environment
, 173

performance
, 172

Forest destruction
, 62

Fornell and Larcker’s criterion
, 160

Friction value
, 3

G-Power software version 3.1
, 24

Generalist CEO
, 172–173

literature review and hypothesis development
, 173–174

methodology
, 174–175

result
, 175–177

Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity model (GARCH model)
, 63, 72, 87

Global financial crisis
, 48–49

Global leadership
, 143, 145

Global supply chain loss
, 94

Government policy
, 21–24

Government role
, 112

Gross domestic product (GDP)
, 108

Herfindahl–Hirschman Index (HHI)
, 49, 51–52

Heterotrait–Monotrait ratio of correlation (HTMT)
, 158, 162–165

ratio of correlation
, 160–165

High-performance work systems (HPWS)
, 142–143

Homogeneity
, 97

Human resources performance (HR performance)
, 142–144

Hypothesis test
, 27–29

Hypothesis testing
, 150

Income
, 110

growth
, 112

Indoneseia’s DSR
, 4

Indonesia
, 20, 36–38, 94, 108, 175

Indonesia Bond Pricing Agency (IBPA)
, 9

Indonesia Securities Investor Protection Found (Indonesia SIPF)
, 42

Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX)
, 51, 63

Indonesia’s GDP
, 4

Indonesian economy
, 85

Indonesian Financial Services Authority
, 21

Indonesian macroeconomic risk estimators

literature review
, 5–8

research methodology
, 8–10

results
, 10–14

Indonesian SMEs

findings
, 165–168

research background
, 159–160

testing discriminant validity and HTMT ratio of correlation
, 160–165

Indonesian stock market
, 4

Industrial revolution 4. 0
, 142

Industry competition
, 128

Inflation-targeting policies and performance
, 20–21

Input–Output model (IO model)
, 95

economic sector shocks in Jakarta
, 97–98

empirical result
, 98–104

framework
, 95–97

framework assumptions
, 97

literature review
, 95–98

Institutional theory
, 36

Inter-Regional Input–Output (IRIO)
, 95

Internal consistency
, 26

International Monetary Fund (IMF)
, 84

Investment-to-GDP ratios
, 3

Investors
, 36

Islamic higher education (IHE)
, 142

Jakarta
, 94

Composite Index
, 85

economic sector shocks in
, 97–98

Jensen Alpha
, 64–65

JIBOR
, 86

KBV
, 21

KEHATI Foundation
, 63, 65

Keynes’s theory
, 110

Leadership
, 145

Leontief inverse matrix
, 96–97

Lerner Index
, 49, 51–52

Leverage risk
, 3

Life cycle hypothesis, consumption based on
, 111–112

Life Cycle Permanent Income Hypothesis (LC-PIH)
, 110

consumption based on
, 112–115

Likert scale
, 25

Liquidity constraints
, 112

Liquidity risk
, 3, 5

Lockdown
, 94

Long-term consumption
, 110

Low managerial ownership
, 38

Macroeconomic risk
, 2, 6

Macrofinance studies
, 2

Macrofinancial relationships, theoretical foundations of
, 5–6

MACTOR
, 115, 120

Marginal Expected Shortfall method
, 85

Marginal Propensity to Consume (MPC)
, 110

Market capitalization
, 128, 130

Market failure
, 3

Market power
, 50

Market risk premium formula
, 3

Market volatility risk
, 3

Matched portfolio
, 66–68

Matching method
, 64

Matrix Actors X Objectives (3MAO)
, 121

Mean-variance efficient portfolio
, 68–69

Measurement model results
, 26–27

Measurement/outer model
, 148

Micro, Small, and Medium Enterprises (MSMEs)
, 23

Microfinance
, 5

Migrant workers
, 108

Migration
, 108

Mixed method
, 115

Moral competence
, 145

Moral global leadership (MGL)
, 142–143

analysis and results
, 147–151

methodology
, 147

moderating role
, 145–146

theory and conceptual model
, 143–146

Moral leadership
, 145–146

Multicollinearity
, 41

Multicultural Personality Questionnaire (MPQ)
, 145

Multifactor models
, 63

Multiplier
, 97

Mutual fund managers
, 70

Neglected stock theory
, 64

Neo-classical economic theory
, 62

Net interest margin (NIM)
, 53

Newey–West regression
, 76

Non-ethical stocks
, 64

Non-financial performance
, 159

Non-financial public companies
, 38

Non-performing loan (NPL)
, 52

Normal operating cash flow
, 39

Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD)
, 20

Organizational performance
, 142

Partial Least Square-Structural Equation Modelling (PLS-SEM)
, 159

Partial least squares (PLS)
, 25–26, 147

People’s Business Credit program
, 23

Performance
, 171–172

Permanent income hypothesis, consumption based on
, 110–111

Plastic waste
, 62

Policy actors
, 22

Policy environment
, 22

Policy system
, 22

Pooled regression
, 72

Population and research samples
, 24–25

Portfolios
, 63

performance testing
, 69

Profitability

literature review and hypothesis development
, 129–130

method
, 130–132

results
, 132–137

Propensity score matching (PSM)
, 63

Proportionality
, 97

PSBB policy
, 94–95, 99

economic sector shocks in Jakarta
, 97–98

Public policy
, 21–22

Quality earnings
, 36

Quasi-Maximum Likelihood
, 72

with Student-t distributions
, 63

Rational choice theory
, 113

RBV
, 21

Real earnings management (REM)
, 36

dependent variable
, 39

econometrics model
, 40

effect
, 37

independent variable
, 39–40

methodology
, 39–40

results
, 40–44

sample
, 39

Refinitiv
, 8

Regression model
, 116–118

Regression results
, 11–13, 41–42, 133–135

from control variables
, 43–44

Reliability
, 26

Remittance
, 108, 113

as dependent variable
, 118–120

Research design
, 24

models, and variable construction
, 51

Research model
, 10

Research variables
, 25–26

Return performance
, 62, 66

Return value of bank assets
, 87

Revenue diversification
, 48

Risk-free rate (RRF)
, 66

River pollution
, 62

ROA
, 128, 134

Robust minus weak (RMW)
, 70

Robustness check
, 55–57

Robustness test regression results
, 13–14

Sarbanes–Oxley Act (SOX)
, 38

Saving
, 110

as dependent variable
, 116–118

Self-interest
, 108

Sharpe Alpha
, 65

Sharpe ratio
, 63, 72–73

Short-term consumption
, 110

Signaling theory
, 129

Small and medium enterprises (SMEs)
, 20

sustainability
, 22–24

Smart work (SW)
, 142–143

and HR performance
, 144

Social media
, 159

Socially responsible investment (SRI)
, 62

Socially responsible portfolio (SR portfolio)
, 62

literature review
, 64–66

principles
, 62

research methodology
, 66–72

results
, 72–78

Specific data dissemination standard (SDDS)
, 66

SRI-KEHATI index
, 63, 65–66

Stability
, 48

Stakeholders
, 115

analysis
, 120–123

Stock market
, 3

volatility
, 5, 8, 10

Stock prices
, 87

Stock value
, 65

Structural equation modelling (SEM)
, 26

Structural model results
, 27

Structural/inner models
, 150

Sustainability
, 20

empirical result
, 26–31

implications
, 31

limitations and future research direction
, 31

literature review and hypothesis development
, 21–24

methodology
, 24–26

Sustainable development goals (SDGs)
, 62

Systemic risk
, 85

analysis
, 89–90

methodology
, 86–88

results
, 88–89

T-test
, 73

Term spread
, 2–3, 5–6, 8–9

Three factors model (3FF)
, 70

Time Higher Education (THE)
, 142

TKI
, 116–118

Tobin’s Q
, 129, 134

proxy
, 173

Total bank assets
, 85

Trade-off theory
, 64

Treynor Alpha
, 65

Two-step system GMM
, 51

Unemployment rates
, 3

Validity
, 26

Value at risk (VaR)
, 86

Variance inflation factor (VIF)
, 41, 176

Volatility
, 5

Weakness of US SRI portfolios
, 64

Winsorizing
, 8

Work from home (WFH)
, 97

World Bank Database
, 8

World university rankings (WUR)
, 142

Year-on-year inflation
, 20

Z-score
, 49, 53–54