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Africa declining democratic norms portend instability

Location:

AFRICA

Although some countries have seen peaceful transfers of power to opposition parties -- such as in Cape Verde last month and Nigeria in March 2015 -- the trend is towards rising…

South China Sea dispute will worsen markedly

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CHINA

The fallout from the COVID-19 crisis has worsened relations between Washington and Beijing and increased tensions in the disputed waters. China is taking advantage of the pandemic…

Ethiopia’s Amhara-Oromo unrest poses long-term problem

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ETHIOPIA

However, at the same time, relations between Amharas and Oromos -- the country’s two largest ethnic groups, whose leaders are central to Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed’s domestic power…

Zimbabwe opposition divisions may linger ahead of poll

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ZIMBABWE

ZIMBABWE: Opposition divisions to linger ahead of poll

Georgia struggles to stay out of war in Ukraine

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GEORGIA/UKRAINE

The death of a Georgian national in Ukraine spurred controversy when the defence ministry put out an allegedly unauthorised statement blaming former President Mikheil Saakashvili…

Sudan stand-off will persist beyond Hamdok’s exit

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SUDAN

His departure is ostensibly a blow for Sudan’s military leaders and a symbolic victory for Sudanese calling for the military to leave power. However, the stand-off between the two…

Military missions may deepen malaise in Venezuela

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VENEZUELA

Amid mounting economic chaos linked to declining production, vulnerable distribution networks and lack of supply, Maduro has launched the Great Sovereign and Secure Supply…

Cameroon's anglophone crisis may intensify post-poll

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CAMEROON

Biya's government insists that polling will proceed as planned, despite threats from separatist anglophone groups to disrupt the vote in both areas.

Guerrillas could prompt Turkish state of emergency

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TURKEY

They were responding to increasingly serious attacks on Turkish soldiers and police by Kurdistan Workers' Party (PKK) guerrillas in eastern Turkey. With President Recep Tayyip…

Disputed Zimbabwe poll will delay re-engagement

Location:

ZIMBABWE

Mnangagwa narrowly avoided a second-round run-off with 50.8% of the vote, but opposition presidential candidate Nelson Chamisa of the Movement for Democratic Change (MDC) Alliance…