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Fears of a Fico comeback in Slovakia may be overdone

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SLOVAKIA

The vote marked a defeat for the left-nationalist opposition parties, which wanted an earlier date in order to oust the government by mid-year. Although the fractious…

Slovak government is weighing up early elections

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SLOVAKIA

SaS’s departure from government could trigger early elections and bring to power a new government with a less firmly pro-Western orientation that might substantially change…

Hungarian Fidesz illiberalism will defy EU criticism

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HUNGARY

The EP vote could in theory lead to sanctions under Article 7 of the EU Treaty (TEU). An 'illiberal state' has emerged in Hungary since 2010, profoundly and durably modifying the…

Abe's Constitution revision plans will soon take shape

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JAPAN

Efforts to amend Japan's Constitution.

Hungary's Fidesz is still set for re-election in 2018

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HUNGARY

The chances of political game-change by the 2018 elections.

Slovak opposition will gain from government weakness

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SLOVAKIA

Public opinion about both the DCA and tensions in Ukraine is less favourable towards the United States, bolstered by strong criticism from opposition leaders. They will attempt…

Banned vote sets Catalonia on independence path

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SPAIN

Catalan leader Carles Puigdemont said his government would “act at the end of this week or the beginning of next”, after more than 2 million Catalans voted for independence on…

Cuba faces tough choices despite new constitution

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CUBA

A 21-hour time lag between the closing of polling stations and the publication of the results gave rise to suspicions of fraud but vote count reports from independent observers…

Prospects for Turkey to end-2016

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PROSPECTS H2 2016

Prospects for Turkey to end-2016.

Russia will exploit Macedonian name row in Balkans

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BALKANS

It will change if 50%+1 of the electorate participate and 50%+1 of them approve. The government’s greatest hope for winning the referendum may be to provoke the Internal…