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Afghan peace deal will sideline Kabul's interests

Location:

AFGHANISTAN

Several rounds of US-Taliban talks have acquired a dynamism of their own and appear to be close to a deal. Because one element of such an agreement -- a US troop withdrawal -…

Iran deal's foreign investment impact would be limited

Location:

IRAN

Indirect negotiations with the United States over a mutual return to the 2015 nuclear deal are facing delays while the transition team of President-elect Ibrahim Raisi moves into…

Staged Iran-US nuclear deal return will be challenging

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IRAN/US

Both Iran and the United States say they are ready to resume full compliance with the deal, if the other first restores its commitments. In theory, simultaneous return would solve…

No backstop or no deal is Ireland’s Brexit dilemma

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UK/IRELAND/EU

Despite the increasing risk and the implications of a no-deal Brexit, Ireland and the EU remain united in support of the main issue preventing a Brexit deal, the backstop.

Conflict over Northern Ireland protocol will persist

Location:

UNITED KINGDOM

Through a joint EU-UK committee, the NIP's purpose is to implement a regulatory and customs border between Northern Ireland and the rest of the United Kingdom. Amid trade…

Ukraine raises questions about US use of force

Location:

UNITED STATES

Determination to avoid a direct clash between US and Russian forces limits Biden’s options for the Ukraine crisis. It also raises questions about the circumstances under which he…

Resurgent Russia pushes Nordic states towards West

Location:

SCANDINAVIA

Outlook for Nordic-NATO defence cooperation.

Turkey’s 2023 elections will drive Greek relations

Location:

GREECE

Just after the missile was tested on October 18 in a launch over the Black Sea, Erdogan said it was a “message” to Turkey’s adversaries. The Tayfun's 560-kilometre range, twice…

Extending Brexit may be needed despite EU deal hopes

Location:

EU/UK

Final stages of Brexit negotiations.

Russian, US, Chinese hypersonic arms lack treaty curbs

Location:

INT

Russia and China have several hypersonic weapons in service or near readiness. This class of weapon is raising concerns in the conventional and strategic realms, where security…